WTC Final Qualification Scenario: What Happens If Australia Beat India In Ahmedabad Test

The fourth and final Test of IND vs AUS Border-Gavaskar Trophy is being played in Ahmedabad.

The fourth and final Test of IND vs AUS Border-Gavaskar Trophy is being played in Ahmedabad.

India, 2-1 up in the series, are up against Australia with a World Test Championship (WTC) final qualification at stake.For India to qualify for WTC Final, they need to beat Australia in IND vs AUS Ahmedabad Test.

The way Australia is playing in the 4th Test has put India's chances in jeopardy. If India loses 4th Test, their PCT will drop to 56.9 and if IND vs AUS Test ends in a draw, India's PCT will be 58.7.

If Australia beats India in 4th Test: India's fate won't be in their hands if they lose fourth Test.

Sri Lanka, also a contender for spot in WTC Final, are currently playing a two-match Test series against New Zealand.

Sri Lanka have a shot at qualifying for WTC final, if they beat New Zealand 2-0 in two-match Test series. SL's chances of making it to WTC Final will significantly drop if NZ beat them 2-0. 

If Sri Lanka beat NZ in one Test match and lose other, their PCT will be 52.77. And, if Sri Lanka beat NZ in one Test and draws the other one, their PCT will be 55.55

So, even if India suffer a loss in IND vs AUS Ahmedabad Test (or the game ends in a draw), they will have a chance to qualify for WTC final.

WTC Final will be played between India and Australia if: India wins 4th Test/Sri Lanka lose or draw one Test vs NZ.

WTC Final will be played between Sri Lanka and Australia if: Sri Lanka beat NZ 2-0 and Australia beat India in 4th Test.