Chanakya Exit Poll Projects Tight Contest In Kerala, UDF Holds Narrow Lead

The Chanakya exit poll has projected a close finish, giving the Congress-led UDF a narrow edge over the incumbent LDF.

The projections highlight that Kerala could be headed for a tightly contested verdict, with the final outcome likely to depend on how the projected ranges play out on counting day.

Source : ABP Majha

Show Quick Read

Key points generated by AI, verified by newsroom

• Exit poll projects UDF winning 69 seats, with LDF close behind.
• LDF is forecasted to secure 64 seats, indicating a close race.
• BJP-led alliance expected to win seven seats; others gain minimally.

The 2026 Kerala Assembly election witnessed an intense and closely watched contest between the ruling Left Democratic Front and the Congress-led United Democratic Front, with both alliances campaigning aggressively across the state in a battle marked by high political stakes and fierce rhetoric. With polling indicating a tightly contested race and no clear runaway favourite during the campaign, the Chanakya exit poll has projected a close finish, giving the UDF a narrow edge over the incumbent LDF.

UDF Projected Ahead In Seat Tally

According to the exit poll, the UDF is projected to win 69 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 9 seats.

#TCAnalysis#Election2026
Keralam 2026
Seat Projection
UDF 69 ± 9 Seats
BJP+ 7 ± 4 Seats
LDF 64 ± 9 Seats
Others 0 ± 1 Seats#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis

— Today's Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) April 30, 2026

LDF Close Behind

The LDF is forecast to secure 64 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 9 seats, indicating a tight race between the two principal alliances.

BJP+ Seen Making Limited Gains

The BJP-led alliance is projected to win 7 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 4 seats.

Others Unlikely To Make Major Impact

Other parties are projected to secure 0 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 1 seat.

Exit Poll Suggests Closely Contested Verdict

The projections indicate that Kerala could be headed for a tightly contested verdict, with the final outcome likely to depend on how the projected ranges play out on counting day.