ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll: Congress Just Short Of Majority, BJP Below 100. JD(S) To Be Kingmaker?

Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 Seat Projection: Let us have a look at the Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 seat projection and the equations emerging in-depth in the Southern state.

Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 (Seat Projection) ( Image Source :PTI )

Karnataka Exit Poll Result 2023: Polling has concluded in the southern state of Karnataka, which saw high-voltage campaigning by both the ruling Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) and the opposition Congress as their star leaders put in their might to woo voters. The fate of candidates is now sealed in EVMs that will be opened on May 13 when the Election Commission of India declares the outcome of this cracker of an election.

While the main contest is being seen between BJP and Congress, the Janata Dal (Secular) (JDS) could also play a significant role.

To understand how voters' mood prevailed, ABP News-CVoter brings out the Exit Poll results for Karnataka.

ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 — Seat Range Projection

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results 2023 for Karnataka suggest that the Congress will emerge as the single largest party but will fall marginally short of a clear majority. In order to gain a majority in the 224-member Karnataka Legislative Assembly, 113 is the magic number to hit.

As per ABP-CVoter Exit Poll, Congress will swing between 100 and 112 assembly seats. A jump from 80 assembly seats since the last Karnataka Assembly election performance is evident, but majority is not coming DK Shivakumar-led Congress side. 

Incumbent BJP will lose ground as it is expected to get between 83 and 95 assembly seats in its south citadel. The saffron party in the 2018 Karnataka assembly election had secured 104 assembly seats, emerging as the single-largest party.

HD Kumaraswamy-led JD(S) is clearly taking a hit in the 2023 Karnataka assembly election as they are projected to secure between 21 and 29 assembly seats, as per the ABP-CVoter Exit Poll. They are not near their last time's performance of 37 assembly seats, but can still play the kingmaker as the state stares at a hung assembly .

Karnataka Assembly 2023: Opinion Poll Predictions

Of the total 224 seats in the Karnataka Assembly, the results of the ABP-CVoter opinion poll had projected that the BJP could win 73-85 seats, Congress 110-122 seats, and the JD(S) 21-29 seats.

A total of 2,615 candidates are in the fray. Karnataka has 224 constituencies spanning six regions — Bengaluru, Central, Coastal, Hyderabad-Karnataka, Mumbai-Karnataka and Southern Karnataka or Old Mysore region. Mumbai-Karnataka and Southern Karnataka are the largest regions of the state and consist of 50 and 51 Assembly seats, respectively. 

While BJP will hope to buck the 38-year trend of Karnataka never voting the incumbent party to power since 1985, Congress will look to wrest the state despite forming a government after the last election in 2018.

[Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the states. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% confidence interval.]