OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Says Artificial Superintelligence Is 'Thousands Of Days Away'
Sam Altman pointed out that achieving Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) will require considerable advancements and refinement over time.
With much buzz in the tech world around Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) — from its anticipated arrival to potential applications — OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman recently shared his views on the even loftier goal of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI). In a conversation with Y Combinator President and CEO Garry Tan, Altman reaffirmed his previous remark that ASI is still “thousands of days away.” He pointed out that achieving ASI will require considerable advancements and refinement over time.
Reflecting on the journey towards superintelligent AI, Altman expressed confidence that a roadmap to ASI is visible and achievable. Altman said, “I can see a path where the work we are doing just keeps compounding and the rate of progress we’ve made over the last three years continues for the next three or six or nine or whatever.”
Altman noted that while unforeseen challenges might arise, he remains hopeful about AI’s capacity to significantly enhance human abilities. To clarify, AGI refers to machines achieving human-level intelligence, while ASI signifies a leap beyond, where AI could tackle complex issues previously unsolvable by humans.
Dreamt From The Beginning
During his hour-long interview, Altman also traced OpenAI’s path from its 2015 founding to today’s AI-driven transformation. He recalled that at its launch, OpenAI made a bold commitment to develop AGI, setting an ambitious goal that continues to shape its mission.
Altman told Tan, “We said from the very beginning we were going to go after AGI at a time when in the field you weren’t allowed to say that because that just seemed impossibly crazy."
He shared that this bold announcement drew criticism from industry veterans. Reflecting on those early days, he described a period driven by determination but constrained by limited resources and intense competition from companies like DeepMind. He noted that, at the time, the team had to adopt a highly strategic approach to navigate these challenges.
He explained, "We were far less resourced than DeepMind and others and so we said okay, they’re going to try a lot of things and we’ve just got to pick one and really concentrate and that’s how we can win here." The CEO explained that concentrating efforts in a single direction rather than spreading them across multiple areas became a defining aspect of OpenAI’s approach.