Exit Polls 2024 Tonight: Will They Mirror Past Hits And Misses? A Look Back At 2014, 2019
Exit polls are not always accurate and have been significantly off the mark in the past. Here's a look at the exit polls projections and the actual results in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Voting for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections is about to end today with the conclusion of the seventh phase. Before the final results are announced on June 4, exit polls will attempt to predict the outcome of the elections later this evening. The exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be broadcast from 6:30 PM on June 1, 30 minutes after the polling ends.
The actual results for all 543 parliamentary seats will be announced by the Election Commission of India (ECI) on June 4.
Exit polls are not always accurate and have been significantly off the mark in the past. Here's a look at the exit polls projections and the actual results in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Exit Polls In 2014 vs Actual Results
In 2014, most exit polls predicted the BJP-led NDA coming to power but failed to accurately forecast the landslide victory that ensued.
Predictions on NDA:
- India Today-Cicero: 272 Seats
- News 24-Chanakya: 340 Seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS: 280 Seats
- Times Now ORG: 249 Seats
- ABP News-Nielsen: 274 Seats
- NDTV-Hansa Research: 279 Seats
Predictions on UPA:
- India Today-Cicero: 115 Seats
- News 24-Chanakya: 101 Seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS: 97 Seats
- Times Now ORG: 148 Seats
- ABP News-Nielsen: 97 Seats
- NDTV-Hansa Research: 103 Seats
Actual Results:
NDA: 336 Seats, BJP won 282 Seats
UPA: 60 Seats, Congress won 44 Seats
Exit Polls in 2019 vs Actual Results
Prediction on NDA:
- India Today-Axis: 339-365 Seats
- News 24-Today's Chanakya: 350 seats
- News18-IPSOS: 336 seats
- Times Now VMR: 306 seats
- India TV-CNX: 300 seats
- Sudarshan News: 305 seats
Prediction for UPA:
- India Today-Axis: 77-108 Seats
- News 24-Today's Chanakya: 95 Seats
- News18-IPSOS: 82 Seats
- Times Now VMR: 132 Seats
- India TV-CNX: 120 Seats
- Sudarshan News: 124 Seats
Actual Results:
NDA: Won 352 Seats, BJP alone secured 303 Seats
UPA: Won 91 Seats, Congress won 52 Seats
The 2024 Lok Sabha Elections
The 2024 Lok Sabha elections witnessed a direct fight between the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Congress-led I.N.D.I.A bloc. The ruling BJP sought a third straight term under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, setting an ambitious target of "400 paar" seats for the NDA.
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