MP floor test: "Kamal" vs Kamal Nath, who will win?

It's 'Kamal' vs Kamal Nath yet again in Madhya Pradesh. None of the 22 MLAs who walked away from Congress along with Jyotiraditya Scindia has decided to come back. The Governor, Lalji Tandon has ordered that a floor test be conducted on Monday. Yet, Kamal Nath remains defiant and even confident of winning the floor test. What is his confidence based on?