As ABP Exit Poll Predicts Razor's Edge Fight In Bihar Elections, Here's How The State Voted In 2015

As per the findings of ABP News - CVoter Exit Poll, NDA is likely to bag somewhere between 104 128 seats, while Mahagathbandhan might bag as many as 108 to 131 seats.

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New Delhi: In what comes as a massive setback for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Bihar Assembly Elections, ABP News along with C-Voter conducted a post poll survey which predicted a hung assembly in the 243-member house. As per the findings, NDA is likely to bag somewhere between 104 128 seats, while Mahagathbandhan might bag as many as 108 to 131 seats. Both the alliances, however, seem to cross the magic number of 122 seats required to form government in the state. The survey hinted that Prime Minister Narendra Modi, BJP and all star campaigners of the saffron party failed to emerge as a decisive factor in the Assembly elections as large chunk of voters exercised their franchise on issue that the NDA failed to address in the state. Going further, the ABP News-CVoter Exit Poll revealed that Grand Alliance comprising Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Congress and other parties could get 108 to 131 seats. However, both NDA and Grand Alliance fail to touch the magic figure in the state. NDA: 104-128 seats Mahagathbandhan: 108-131 seats LJP: 1-3 seats Others: 4-8 seats ABP News-CVoter Exit Poll: Vote share predictions When its comes to vote percentage, the ABP Exit Polls noted that NDA stand ahead of the Mahagathbandhan but with a hike of mere 2 per cent votes. Nitish Kumar is likely to get 37.7 per cent vote share while Tejashwi Yadav is leading the Mahagathbanhan with 36.3 per cent votes. Grand Alliance partners Congress, which contested 70 seats, is projected to win 25 seats, followed by two seats each by CPI and CPI (M) and six seats by CPI (ML). Former NDA ally in Bihar Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), which parted ways with Nitish Kumar just before polls dates were announced for the state, failed to make a mark in the Assembly Elections as it is predicted to bag 1-3 seats, the survey stated. ABP News-CVoter Exit Poll: Region-wise forecasts  Region-wise findings also predicts massive leap for Mahagathbandhan. The Seemanchal region which has as many as 24 assembly seats looks like going in Tejashwi Yadav's favour. Even in Ang Pradesh (27 seats), Mithilanchal (50 seats) and  Magadh Bhojpur (69 seats), Grand Alliance has upper edge. Experts and poll analysts believe that anti-incumbency factor weighed in heavily for the Chief Minister who was seeking fourth consecutive term in the chair. RJD, which has projected Tejashwi Yadav as the chief ministerial face, is likely to emerge with the highest vote share of 22.9 per cent followed by the BJP with 20.4 per cent. Janata Dal (United) may get only 15.1 per cent vote share. How Bihar voted in 2015 Assembly Elections In 2015, RJD had emerged as the largest party by winning 80 seats, while the ruling JDU won 71 seats and Congress had remained the weak link with 27 seats to its name. BJP managed to win only 53 seats in the state despite riding on the Modi wave, followed by two seats by the LJP and one seat by Jitan Ram Manjhi-led Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular. Other parties had won 10 seats in the state. With only 53 seats, BJP managed to get the maximum percentage of vote share with 24 per cent, followed by the RJD with 18 per cent and JD-U 17 per cent. The Congress managed to get seven per cent vote share and LJP got around 4.8 per cent vote share. Almost 2 years later, the ruling government was left in a helpless situation after facing humiliation as the name of then Deputy Chief Minister Tejashwi Yadav appeared in a money-laundering case. Thereafter, Nitish Kumar decided to part ways with RJD and joined NDA in July 2017.