ABP Opinion Poll: BJP-Led NDA Likely To Return To Power In Assam, Congress-Led UPA Not Far Behind

Assam ABP CVoter Opinion Poll Results 2021: In Assam, Assembly elections will be held in three phases on March 27, April 1 and April 6. Results will be declared on May 2.

ABP News

Assam ABP CVoter Opinion Poll Results 2021: ABP News along with C-Voter conducted a survey to understand the mood of voters in Assam, which is slated for crucial Assembly elections later this month. As per the survey, Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is poised to bag 45 per cent of the total vote-share, which is a nominal 3 per cent rise in its share of votes compared to 2016 Assembly polls.  

Meanwhile, Congress-led United Progress Alliance (UPA) is expected to bag 42 per cent vote share in the upcoming polls, which is a strong 11 per cent increase in its votes compared to previous polls.

The BJP is contesting the Assam Assembly Elections in an alliance with Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and United People's Party Liberal (UPPL), who are part of the North East Democratic Alliance (NEDA) - the regional arm of NDA.

Whereas, the Congress has formed a 'Grand Alliance' with AIUDF, BPF, CPI, CPI(M), CPI(ML), Anchalik Gana Morcha (AGM), RJD and Jimochayan (Deori) Peoples' Party (JPP) to take on BJP-led NDA in the state.

In terms of seats, the ruling NDA is most likely to win somewhere around 64 to 72 seats in the 126-member Assam Assembly. In 2016 polls, NDA secured 74 seats and the current ABP survey predicts a 3 per cent positive swing in vote share for the ruling alliance.

While on the other hand, UPA alliance is predicted to win around 52 to 60 seats, which is a decent 11 per cent positive swing in vote share. 

In Assam, Assembly elections will be held in three phases on March 27, April 1 and April 6. Results will be declared on May 2. The 2016 elections in Assam gave a fractured mandate as no party got an absolute majority.

The BJP had emerged as the single-largest party with 60 MLAs, while its allies Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People's Front (BPF) managed to secure 14 and 12 seats, respectively. The ruling dispensation even had support of an Independent MLA.