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How Effective Are Covid-19 Vaccines Against Dangerous Delta Variant Of Coronavirus?

The Delta variant remains the most dangerous of all the variants of the coronavirus, and spreads rapidly.

Three weeks ago a variant of the coronavirus was being termed as the "Indian variant", after India's objection it was renamed as the 'Delta' variant. Scientists say that another mutation occurred in the Delta variant that caused India's second major Covid outbreak.

The new variant may also be able to evade the immunity provided by the vaccine. But mutations don't always transform into worrisome viruses.

For example, the 'Beta variant', first found in South Africa, reduced the efficacy of all vaccines but did not spread to the rest of the world like the 'Alpha variant' (UK variant).

In fact, the B.1.617.1 variant already mutated to '484Q' to evade the immunity provided by the vaccine, and yet Delta (B.1.617.2) is contagious without it.

Delta Is Super Spreader Variant

Delta is the main strain of the coronavirus detected in India. 91% of new cases in the UK are infected due to this variant. According to World Health Organization chief scientist, Soumya Swaminathan the cases of the Delta variant are doubling every two weeks in the US, and the virus is will soon spread all over the world.

The epidemiologist at Imperial College London, Neil Ferguson told New York Magazine that "Delta is the super spreader. The Alpha was also a super-spreader, but the Delta could be 60% more transmissible than this."

According to Public Health England, Delta is at least 60% more transmissible within homes than Alpha.

Two Doses Of Covid-19 Vaccine Effective Against Delta Variant

Delta's high transmissibility is due to the 452R and 478K mutations. Both the mutations attach better to human cells and evade immunity. While two doses still work well against it, a single dose provides limited protection.

Data from the UK shows that One-Shot gives 33% protection against Delta, compared to 51% against Alpha. So partially vaccinated people are now at higher risk of infection.

2.6 Times Higher Risk Of Hospitalisation

Delta is more likely to cause serious illness than Alpha. The Guardian informed in England says Delta increases the risk of hospitalization by 2.6 times. For example, a person infected with the Alpha variant can infect 4-5 people. But a person infected with Delta variant can infect 5-8 people.

Starting with two infected people, after 10 rounds of infection with Alpha, the total number of cases can be between 20 lakh and 20 million. At the same time, the number of cases with Delta can be from 20 million to 2 billion.

Not To Be Admitted If Infected After Single Dose

The good news is that the vaccination against the Delta variant is still highly effective. Although the chances of getting infected after a single dose are high, hospitalisation is less likely.

According to the BBC, a single dose of the vaccine reduces a person's chances of infection and the need for hospitalization by 75%. The risk of hospitalization is reduced by 90% after two doses.  

 

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