An exit poll is a survey where voters are asked which political party they are supporting after they have cast their votes in an election. It differs from an opinion poll, which is held before the elections. An exit poll is conducted to give an idea of which party has the advantage and how many seats they are winning.
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MAJORITY272
SEATS543
353-383
NDA
152-182
INDIA
04-12
OTH
Source: ABP C voter
Uttar Pradesh (80)
62-66
NDA
15-17
INDIA
0-0
OTH
Maharashtra (48)
22-26
NDA
23-25
INDIA
0-0
OTH
West Bengal (42)
23-27
BJP
13-17
TMC
1-3
INC
0-0
OTH
Bihar (40)
34-38
NDA
3-5
INDIA
0-0
OTH
Lok Sabha Election Exit Poll
An Exit Poll is a survey in which questions are asked to some voters and on the basis of their response an attempt is made to understand which party or candidate is likely to win. Exit polls take place on the last day of elections when the voting ends and the voters come out of the polling stations. Through this process, election results are estimated at the local and national levels. Exit polls help parties and political analysts understand electoral trends. On the basis of the survey, news organisations do predictive reporting of election results. The agencies conducting exit polls are continuously improving their process, which usually gives a glimpse of the final election results. Sometimes these estimates have proved to be accurate, but many times these estimates have been wrong too.
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FAQs
What are exit polls?
How are exit polls conducted?
The most common way of conducting an exit poll is collecting samples. These samples are questions like what citizens feel about a particular party or its works in the past. The participants are also asked why a voter chose to press the button for any party and the reason behind their choice.
When did exit polls start?
The first exit poll was conducted in India by the Indian Institute of Public Opinion in 1957, which was during the second Lok Sabha elections.
What are pre-poll and post-poll surveys?
Pre-poll surveys generally ask respondents how they will vote in the upcoming election and regarding the voting behaviour before the polls. On the other hand, post-poll surveys are conducted among participants who have already cast their votes.
What are the Election Commission guidelines regarding exit polls?
Exit polls are not supposed to be telecast from before voting begins till the last phase concludes. The exit polls are governed by several rules such as Section 126A of the Representation of the People Act, 1951, according to which no person is allowed to conduct any exit poll and publish or publicise the results by print and electronic media or in any other manner while voting is undergoing.
What is the history of election surveys in India?
The first exit poll was conducted in 1957, during the second Lok Sabha elections in India where the Indian Institute of Public Opinion conducted the survey. However, the first serious poll survey started surfacing in the 1980s, with the growing visibility of satellite television.
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Amitabh Tiwari
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