ABP-CVoter Survey: Raj Voters Want BJP To Declare CM Candidate, Know Who Is Party's Most Famous Face

ABP-CVoter Survey: Know what Rajasthan voters think about the BJP's strategy ahead — whether or not it should declare a CM nominee and who is the saffron party's most popular face in the state.

In the ABP-CVoter Survey, former Rajasthan chief minister Vasundhara Raje emerged as the most popular face of the BJP, followed by Union minister Gajendra Singh Shekhawat.

Source : PTI

ABP News-CVoter’s (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research) first opinion poll revealed projections for the upcoming Rajasthan Election which is slated to take place later this year. ABP News-CVoter Snap poll looked to ascertain what voters think about the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)’s strategy ahead — whether or not it should declare a Chief Ministerial nominee as well as who is the saffron party’s most popular face in the state. The ABP News-CVoter survey was conducted between June 26 to July 25 among 14,085 adult participants across Rajasthan. 

Rajasthan Election 2023: Should BJP project a Chief Minister face?

When asked if the BJP should project its Chief Ministerial face in Rajasthan: 61.7% of BJP voters said ‘Yes’ while 27.5% replied ‘No’, and 10.8% said they were unsure. On the same question, 46.7% of Congress voters said ‘Yes’, 34.8% opined ‘No’, and 18.5% said they were undecided.

In Others, 45.3% opined that the saffron party should declare a Chief Ministerial name, 24% disagreed, and 30.7% said they were unsure.

Rajasthan Election 2023: Who is BJP’s most popular face?

Notably, former CM Vasundhara Raje emerged as the most popular face of the BJP in Rajasthan as among BJP supporters, 37.1% voted Vasundhara Raje as the most popular face, followed by Union minister Gajendra Singh Shekhawat (8.9%), Rajendra Rathore (9.1%), Arjun Meghwal (6.5%), 31.4% said they favoured no one, and 7% said they were unsure.

Similarly, most Congress voters also chose Vasundhara Raje (35.1%), followed by Gajendra Singh Shekhawat (9.3%), Rajendra Rathore (7.3%), Arjun Meghwal (6.6%), 34.9% said they favoured no one, and 6.8% remained undecided. 

Rajasthan Election 2023: Who is the most favoured Congress CM nominee?

Asked about the favoured CM face from the Congress, 54.7% of the ruling party’s voters favoured Ashok Gehlot, 28% preferred Sachin Pilot, 13.5% said they favour neither, and 3.9% were undecided.

On this question, 33.3% of BJP voters favoured Ashok Gehlot, 30.9% preferred Sachin Pilot, 28.1% said they neither favour Ashok Gehlot nor Sachin Pilot as Congress’s CM face, and 7.7% were unsure. As for Others, 30.1% favoured incumbent CM Gehlot, 28.8% preferred Pilot, 32.9% don’t favour either, and 8.2% were unsure.

The first projections showed that Rajasthan is likely to maintain its trend of changing the State Government every five years which has been going on since 1998. The BJP is predicted to secure a comfortable majority in the forthcoming state election. 

According to the ABP News-CVoter survey, the BJP is projected to win 109 to 119 seats with a vote share of 45.8%, while the incumbent Congress (INC) Government is predicted to win 78 to 88 seats with a vote share of 41%. The BSP is projected to secure 0-2 seats with a vote share of 0.7% and ‘Others’ are predicted to win 1-5 seats with a 12.5% vote share.

More On It: First ABP-CVoter Survey For Rajasthan Projects Majority For BJP, Though Congress Vote Share Is Up

Methodology

This poll is based on CVoter Pre-Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide and represents all segments. 

Time frame: 26th June - 25th July
MOE (Margin of Error) 
Sample Size of Opinion Poll (Seat Range and Vote Share - Rajasthan): 14085 respondents 
Sample Size of Snap Poll (Rajasthan): 1885
LS Seats Covered – 25
VS Seats Covered – 200
MOE +/- 3% to +/- 5%
Confidence Level – 95%

Disclaimer: [Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll-bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.