ABP News-CVoter Survey: Gehlot Scores Over Vasundhara Raje As CM Choice In Rajasthan, Inflation Core Issue
What does the first exclusive survey ahead of the assembly polls say about the mood of Rajasthan? ABP News-CVoter opinion poll finds out.
The first exclusive survey ahead of the Rajasthan Assembly polls is out on ABP Live. The ABP-CVoter opinion poll tried to gauge the mood of the state on pertinent questions on matters that would impact the voters' lives. The ABP News-CVoter survey conducted between June 26 to July 25 was conducted among 14,085 adults across Rajasthan.
The CM Choice
The survey revealed that incumbent Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot was the most popular choice for the top post as he beat his predecessor Vasundhara Raje by 10 percentage points. While three-time CM Gehlot received the support of 35% of the respondents, two-time CM Raje was backed by 25% of the participants. Gehlot's Congress colleague Sachin Pilot, a strong contender for the CM's post came in third with the backing of just 19% of the respondents.
BJP leaders Gajendra Singh Shekhawat and Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore were nowhere in the competition managing to get only 9% and 5% of the total votes polled in the survey.
The level of satisfaction of the voters in the state with the work of CM Gehlot was also encouraging. As many as 41% of the respondents said that they were "very much satisfied" with his work, while 35% said that they were "satisfied to some extent". The percentage of people saying that they were "not at all satisfied" with CM Gehlot's performance was 21%, while 3% were unsure of their answer.
Satisfaction With Government's And Opposition's Works
Overall, 39% of the respondents were "very much satisfied" with the Congress government's work while 36% were "satisfied to some extent". As many as 24% of the respondents were "not at all satisfied" with the government's work.
The BJP, too, had encouraging figures as 26% of people were "very much satisfied" with Vasundhara Raje's work as the Leader of Opposition and 27% of the respondents were "satisfied to some extent". However, the percentage of the survey participants who were "not at all satisfied" with Raje's work as the Leader of Opposition in Rajasthan was a whopping 39%.
Which Issues Rule Voters' Agenda?
The participants' opinion was based on various issues. Inflation and unemployment seemed to form a large portion of the respondents' agenda, with 28% of respondents saying rising prices of commodities was the most important issue for them. Unemployment came in a close second with as many as 27% saying that it was the most pressing issue for them. Corruption was on the minds of 10% of the respondents as the foremost problem in the state, while 6% thought the same about family income and poverty in Rajasthan. As many as 5% of people thought electricity, road and water comprised the bulk of their worries, while issues related to agriculture and farmers were thought of as the most pertinent issue for the state by 4% of the respondents. Another 4% of the respondents thought that population growth is the most important issue for them.
Election to the 200-seat Rajasthan Assembly is likely to be held in or before the first week of December. While the BJP will be banking on the fact that since the 1998 polls, Rajasthan is known to switch between the saffron party and the Congress in each assembly poll. The Congress, on the other hand, will be looking to buck the trend.
Methodology
This poll is based on CVoter Pre-Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide and represents all segments.
Time frame: 26th June - 25th July
MOE (Margin of Error)
Sample Size of Opinion Poll (Seat Range and Vote Share - Rajasthan): 14085 respondents
Sample Size of Snap Poll (Rajasthan): 1885
LS Seats Covered – 25
VS Seats Covered – 200
MOE +/- 3% to +/- 5%
Confidence Level – 95%
Disclaimer: [Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll-bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.
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