ABP Opinion Poll 2021 Results: NDA To Retain Power In Assam Despite CAA-NRC Protests, Congress Not Far Behind

EC announced the dates for elections to the 126-member Assam Assembly, set to be held over three phases on March 27, April 1 and April 6 with the results to be declared on May 2.

(Image: ABP News)

The National Democratic Alliance (NDA)-led government in Assam is most likely to retain power, by increasing its seats in the upcoming Assembly elections, the ABP News-CVoter survey revealed on Wednesday. 

Election Commission of India (ECI) announced the dates for elections to the 126-member Assam Assembly, set to be held over three phases on March 27, April 1 and April 6 with the results to be declared on May 2.

Assam Assembly Elections: Vote Share Projection

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led alliance is touted to secure around 45 per cent vote share in the upcoming polls, which is a +3 per cent swing compared to 2016 election results.

According to the survey, the assembly elections in Assam looks to be a close knit competition as the Congress-led UPA is projected to bag around 41 per cent vote share, a massive +10 per cent swing to the coalition compared to 2016 polls.

The ABP News-CVoter survey also reveals that other parties in Assam will manage to win 14 per cent vote share, which is -13 per cent swing comapred to 2016 elections. 

Assam Assembly Elections: Seat Projection

The survey revealed that BJP-led NDA might win somewhere around 65 to 73 seats in 126-member Assam Assembly, which is 5 seats less that what it currently has.

Making an impressive inroads, Congress-led UPA is projected to bag seats in the range of 52 to 60, which is 17 more that what it managed to win in 2016 Assam Assembly polls.

Other parties and independent candidates, the survey says, will win somewhere around 0 to 4 seats in the upcoming polls.

It is also being said that region-wise, the majority of votes from Central Assam, Hills and Barak Valley and Upper Assam will go to the BJP, while votes from Lower Assam are likely to sway towards the Congress. In 2016, the majority of votes from all the regions went to the BJP.

The last assembly polls in 2016 in Assam were held in two phases wherein the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies had won 86 of the state's 126 assembly constituencies.