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ABP-CVoter Survey: Can Sonia Retain Raebareli? Know Projection For 50 Star Candidates In 2024 LS Polls

ABP and CVoter reached out to the people to find out whether the star candidates, including Narendra Modi, Sonia Gandhi, and Rahul Gandhi, would be able to retain their seats in the Lok Sabha polls.

New Delhi: Following the intense Assembly elections in five states, attention has now turned to the upcoming Lok Sabha elections scheduled for next year. The state elections ended in a 3-2 victory for the BJP, which kept power in Madhya Pradesh while wresting control of Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan from the Congress. 

However, with the general election just a few months away, every political party is actively devising its strategies based on its own considerations.

ABP and CVoter reached out to the people to find out whether the star candidates for the Lok Sabha polls such as Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Home Minister Amit Shah, Smriti Irani, and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi would be able to retain their seats or not for the next five years.

According to the survey, Narendra Modi, Rajnath Singh, Rahul Gandhi, and Amit Shah will be ahead of their opponents by a significant margin, while Ajay Kumar Teni, Sonia Gandhi, and Chirag Paswan, among others, will lead only with a small margin.

Here's How 50 Star Candidates Will Perform In Lok Sabha Polls: 

  1. Varanasi - Narendra Modi (Ahead by a significant margin)
  2. Azamgarh - Daddan Shaukat Ali Yadav (At risk)
  3. Lucknow - Rajnath Singh (Ahead by a significant margin)
  4. Mainpuri - Dimple Yadav (Ahead by a significant margin)
  5. Gorakhpur - Ravikant Shukla (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  6. Ghaziabad - Suresh Bansal (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  7. Muzaffarnagar - Sanjeev Balyan (Ahead by a small margin)
  8. Amethi - Smriti Irani (Ahead by a significant margin)
  9. Raebareli - Sonia Gandhi (Ahead by a considerable margin). However, if Sonia Gandhi does not contest herself, then this seat is in contention.
  10. Lakhimpur Kheri - Ajay Singh Chauhan (Ahead by a small margin)
  11. Prayagraj - Rita Bahuguna Joshi (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  12. Meerut - Jivitesh Bajpai (Ahead by a significant margin)
  13. Kannauj- Subrat Pathak (Ahead by a small margin)
  14. Pilibhit - Varun Gandhi (Ahead by a significant margin)
  15. Mathura - Hema Malini (Ahead by a small margin)
  16. Gautam Buddh Nagar - Mahesh Sharma (Ahead by a significant margin)
  17. Mirzapur - Anupriya Patel (Ahead by a significant margin)
  18. Unnao - Sakshi Maharaj (Ahead by a small margin)
  19. Amroha - Danish Ali (At risk)
  20. Ghazipur - Afzal Ansari (At Risk)
  21. Begusarai - Giriraj Singh (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  22. Patliputra - Ram Kripal Yadav (At risk)
  23. Buxar - Ashwini Choubey (Ahead by a small margin)
  24. Hajipur - Pashupati Kumar Paras (Ahead by a small margin)
  25. Jamui - Chirag Paswan is ahead (Ahead by a significant margin)
  26. Ujiarpur - Nityanand Rai (Ahead by a small margin)
  27. Motihari - Radha Mohan Singh (Ahead by a small margin)
  28. Arrah - Raj Kumar Singh (Ahead by a small margin)
  29. Godda - Nishikant Dubay (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  30. Koderma - Annapurna Devi (Ahead by a significant margin)
  31. Khunti - Arjun Munda (Ahead by a small margin)
  32. Wayanad - Rahul Gandhi (Ahead by a significant margin)
  33. Nainital - Ajay Bhatt (Ahead by a significant margin)
  34. Hamirpur - Anurag Thakur (Ahead by a significant margin)
  35. Bikaner - Arjun Meghwal (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  36. Chittorgarh - CP Joshi (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  37. Jhalawar - Dushyant Singh (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  38. Jodhpur - Gajendra Singh Shekhawat (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  39. Nagaur - Hanuman Beniwal (Ahead by a significant margin)
  40. Chhindwara - Nakul Nath (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  41. Bhopal - Pragya Thakur is (Ahead by a small margin)
  42. Khajuraho - Vishnu Dutt Sharma (Ahead by a significant margin)
  43. North Delhi - Manoj Tiwari (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  44. New Delhi - Meenakshi Lekhi (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  45. South Delhi - Gautam Gambhir (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  46. Gandhinagar - Amit Shah (Ahead by a significant margin)
  47. Mumbai North Central - Poonam Mahajan (Ahead by a considerable margin)
  48. Kalyan - Shrikant Shinde (Ahead by a small margin)
  49. Hugli - Locket Chatterjee (Ahead by a small margin)
  50. Baharampur - Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury (Ahead by a small margin)

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level Vote Share projection with 95% Confidence interval.]

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