ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP To Repeat Its 2019 Lok Sabha Success In Haryana? Here's What The Survey Shows

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP's performance in Haryana is expected to be better, whereas the performance of India Alliance in Haryana is likely to be poor.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a meeting with Haryana Chief Minister Nayab Saini, in New Delhi, Thursday, March 14, 2024. ( Image Source :PTI )

In the run-up to the upcoming Lok Sabha Elections, parties across the nation are trying to increase their seat share and vote percentage. While the BJP is trying to increase its seat count to reach the target of 370, the opposition Congress is trying to wrest away seats from the ruling party.

Haryana, with its 10 seats, holds significance in the northern states as the BJP will try to repeat its 2019 success in the state.

In order to gauge the mood of the state, the ABP News and CVoter conducted an opinion poll. According to the ABP-CVoter, the BJP is expected to sweep nine seats and is estimated to get about 53 per cent of votes in the Lok Sabha election. Whereas, the Congress is likely to get 38 per cent of the votes and a mere one seat. 

Aside from the BJP and Congress, the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) and other regional parties are also in contention. However, their vote share is not expected to significantly impact the electoral prospects of the two main parties. The Opinion Poll indicates that INLD may secure around 2 per cent of the votes, while other regional parties are expected to receive approximately 7 per cent of the votes.

Following are  the nine seats that the BJP is projected to secure:

• Ambala- BJP
• Bhiwani- BJP
• Faridabad- BJP
• Gurugram- BJP
• Hisar- BJP (Close Fight)
• Karnal- BJP
• Kurukshetra- BJP
• Sirsa- BJP (Close Fight)
• Sonipat- BJP

And, Congress may secure the Rohtak constituency.

2019 Lok Sabha Election Result In Haryana

In Haryana, the BJP had an outstanding showing in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP had taken all ten Lok Sabha seats in this election. The significant aspect of this election was the defeat of numerous powerful Congressmen, notably Bhupinder Singh Hooda, the erstwhile state chief minister, and his son Deepender Singh Hooda. With former chief minister Manohar Lal Khattar entering the fray this time, all eyes are on the Karnal seat.

(Methodology: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)