BJP close to majority in Karnataka, may get 110 seats: ABP News exit poll

The BJP is all set to emerge as the single largest party with only two seats short of the half-way mark in the Karnataka assembly elections, an exit poll conducted by ABP News-C Voter has predicted on Saturday.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Photo: PTI

BENGALURU: The BJP is all set to emerge as the single largest party with only two seats short of the half-way mark in the Karnataka assembly elections, an exit poll conducted by ABP News-C Voter has predicted on Saturday. According to the poll, the BJP is set to win 110 seats while the incumbent Congress party is likely to win 88 seats. The voting was held on Saturday in 222 out of 224 seats in a three-cornered contest among the ruling Congress, the BJP and former prime minister H D Deve Gowda's JD(S). India Today-Axis exit poll, however, put the Congress in a pole position and predicted its tally in the range of 106-118 seats while of the BJP between 79-92. It saw the JD(S) tally between 22-30 seats. The Poll of Exit Polls on NDTV forecast 97, 90 and 31 seats for the BJP, the Congress and the JD(S) respectively. Times Now-VMR predicted that the BJP will win 94 seats while the Congress will bag 97 and the JD)S) 28. However, Times Now-Chanakya forecast a majority for the BJP with 120 seats and gave the Congress and the JD(S) 73 and 26 seats respectively. The Congress had won 122 seats in the 2013 state Assembly polls following a split in the BJP, which was reduced to 40 seats while the JD(S) also got 40 seats. Karnataka Elections Exit Poll Live Updates In the final cut of the Karnataka assembly election 2018 exit poll conducted by ABP News- C Voter, BJP is likely to get majority with 104-116 seats.

• BJP:   104-116
• Congress: 83-94
• JDS: 20-29
• Others: 0-7

 

According to third and final cut of #ABPExitPoll, the BJP may get majority in #KarnatakaElections2018 BJP: 104-116 Congress: 83-94 JDS: 20-29 pic.twitter.com/evIbYtLWOi

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

As per the average of the exit polls conducted by five major channels, Congress leads in vote sharing.

• Congress: 38 % votes
• BJP: 37 % votes
• JDS: 19 % votes
• Others: 6% votes

Poll of polls, an average of exit polls conducted by five channels, predicts less vote share but more seats for the BJP. #KarnatakaElections2018 #ABPExitPoll pic.twitter.com/zK6VzFI9h7

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

BJP leads in the average seat sharing based upon the exit polls of the major channels. BJP: 98, Congress: 92, JDS: 32

Poll of polls, an average of exit polls conducted by five channels, predicts a hung assembly in #Karnataka with the BJP emerging as the single largest party.#ABPExitPoll pic.twitter.com/0q41mA74I1

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

The second cut of ABP News Exit Poll by C-Voter , based upon voting till 4 PM is out and BJP's estimated seat share has risen.

• BJP :107 seats
• Congress:  88 seats
• JDS : 25 seats
• Others: 4 seats

  The first cut of exit polls by ABP News C-voter, based upon polling till 2 pm is as follows: BJP leads with 41% votes, while Congress trailing close with 39% votes. In terms of seats, BJP leads with winning probability over 97-109 seats, Congress trails just behind with 87-99 seats, JDS has 21-30 seats, while others may win on 1-8 seats .

• BJP: 41 %
• Congress:  39 %
• JDS : seats 17 %
• Others: 3 %

 

#ABPExitPoll: BJP likely to emerge as the single-largest party in #KarnatakaElections2018 BJP- 97-109 seats (41% vote share) Cong- 87-99 seats (39% vote share) JDS- 21-30 seats (17% vote share) (First cut is based on voting till 2pm) pic.twitter.com/Ys9hAXQxsk

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

Region wise fragmentation of the first cut of exit polls: Old Mysore region: (55 seats)

• Congress:  38 %
• BJP: 23 %
• JDS : 36%
• Others: 3 .4 %

Bangalore region (30 seat)

• Congress: 35  %
• BJP:  44 %
• JDS : 16 %
• Others: 5 %

Coastal Karnataka Region (21 seat)

• BJP : 47 %
• Congress: 41%
• JDS : 7 %
• Others:5 %

Central Karnataka region: (35 seats)

• BJP : 45 %
• Congress: 38%
• JDS : 12 %
• Others: 5%

Mumbai Karnataka Region: 50 seats

• BJP : 45 %
• Congress: 45 %
• JDS : 7 %
• Others:3 %

Hyderabad Karnataka Region: (31 seats)

• BJP : 43%
• Congress: 42%
• JDS : 10 %
• Others:4 %

 

#KarnatakaElections2018 - Voting concludes, first cut of #ABPExitPoll to be released at 6:30 pm. Stay tuned to https://t.co/JQJlKZeiOk

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

• In the last election, the state recorded a 71 per cent voter turnout.
• The exit poll results will be released at 6:30 pm after the end of voting in the state

First cut of Karnataka #ABPExitPoll to be released at 6:30 pm. Watch our LIVE coverage from now: https://t.co/JQJlKZeiOk pic.twitter.com/LUtIfSsofk

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) May 12, 2018

• About 56 per cent polling was recorded till 3 pm on the voting day for the fiercely fought Karnataka Assembly polls.
•  There has been a strange trend in Karnataka in the past that whoever has formed the government in the southern state has lost the next Lok Sabha election. When BJP chief Amit Shah was asked about it, he said it's a superstition and suggested that the Congress was in both the Centre and Karnataka in 1967.
• No party in Karnataka has won a second successive term in office since 1985 when the Janata Dal under Ramakrishna Hegde had retained power.
• Polling was held in 222 constituencies of the 224 -member Assembly as election has been countermanded in Jayanagara following the death of BJP candidate and sitting MLA B N Vijaykumar and in Rajrajeshwari Nagar constituency following the fake voter ID card row.