Explorer

Bihar Opinion Poll: Who Will Form Government This Time? Two Surveys Reveal Surprising Results

Both surveys indicate that the NDA is well-positioned to form the next government in Bihar, though the final outcome will be decided when votes are counted on November 14.

Campaigning for the first phase of the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has ended today,ahead of voting on 121 seats. The final verdict on who forms the next government-NDA or Mahagathbandhan, will be known on November 14. However, multiple pre-poll surveys have offered a glimpse of the possible outcome, indicating a likely edge for the NDA alliance.

POLSTRAT-People’s Insight Survey Predicts NDA Lead

According to the POLSTRAT-People’s Insight opinion poll, the NDA could secure 133-143 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan is projected to win 93-102 seats.

Seat Projection:

  • NDA: 133-143
  • Mahagathbandhan: 93-102
  • Jan Suraaj: 1-3
  • AIMIM: 2-3
  • Others: 0-2

Party-Wise Seat Estimates

Within the NDA:

  • BJP: 70-72
  • JD(U): 53-56
  • HAM: 0-2
  • LJP (Ram Vilas): 10-12
  • RLM: 0-1

Within The Mahagathbandhan:

  • RJD: 69-72
  • Congress: 10-13
  • Left: 14-15
  • VIP: 1-2
  • IIP: 0-1

Vote Share Estimate:

  • NDA: 45%
  • Mahagathbandhan: 39%
  • Others: 16%

Chanakya Strategies Seat Projection:

  • NDA: 128-134
  • Mahagathbandhan: 102-108
  • Others: 5-9

Both surveys indicate that the NDA is well-positioned to form the next government in Bihar, though the final outcome will be decided when votes are counted on November 14.

About the author ABP Live News

ABP Live News delivers round-the-clock coverage of India and the world, tracking politics, policy, governance, crime, courts and breaking developments, while offering sharp, verified reporting that helps readers stay informed, aware and connected to the stories shaping public life.

Read More

Top Headlines

TVK Chief Vijay Reveals Wealth, Bank Deposits And Luxury Cars In Poll Affidavit
TVK Chief Vijay Reveals Wealth, Bank Deposits And Luxury Cars In Poll Affidavit
Assam Saw Long Span Of Instability, But Things Changed In Past Decade Under BJP: PM Modi
Assam Saw Long Span Of Instability, But Things Changed In Past Decade Under BJP: PM Modi
Tamil Nadu Election: CM MK Stalin, TVK's Vijay File Nomination As Poll Battle Intensifies
MK Stalin, TVK's Vijay File Nomination For Tamil Nadu Election
Rahul Gandhi Kicks Off Two-Day Campaign For Kerala Assembly Elections
Rahul Gandhi Kicks Off Two-Day Campaign For Kerala Assembly Elections

Videos

Election Spotlight: Modi Engages Assam Workers Ahead of Assembly Polls, BJP’s Grassroots Connect Strong
Middle East Day 31: Tehran, UAE, Lebanon Hit as Iran, Israel, US Intensify Conflict
Middle East War: Israel and US Strike Tehran, Hezbollah Ambushes in Lebanon
Middle East Alert: Hezbollah and Israel Clash as Tehran Faces Massive Airstrikes by IDF
War Update: US Prepares Ground Offensive in Middle East: 10,000 Troops Deployed Amid Iran Tensions

Photo Gallery

25°C
New Delhi
Rain: 100mm
Humidity: 97%
Wind: WNW 47km/h
See Today's Weather
powered by
Accu Weather
Embed widget