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ABP Cvoter Opinion Poll: BJP's Fort In Danger As Congress Could Secure Comfortable Majority In Karnataka

ABP Cvoter Karnataka Opinion Poll: The state is set to go to polls on May 10 and ahead of the polls, here are the projections for who could secure the Kannada state for the next 5-year term.

Karnataka Election Opinion Poll: Ahead of May 10 assembly elections in Karnataka, ABP-CVoter has come out with interesting outcomes through its opinion poll that suggests a change of regime in the southern state. The ABP-CVoter hints at the Congress forming government in Karnataka while the BJP could lose big and JD(S) performance could be quite below the mark. The opinion polls numbers are not good for the ruling BJP which has a mammoth task of saving its only Southern fort while the Congress attempts to take the state from the saffron party’s control. 

ABP News along with CVoter spoke to the voters of Karnataka and received responses from 17,772 people. Opinion poll figures show that out of 224 assembly seats in Karnataka, a maximum of 107 to 119 seats can go to the Congress. The BJP is likely to get 74 to 86 seats and the JD(S) can get 23 to 35 seats. Whereas others have been shown getting 0 to 5 seats. 

As per the data, the ruling BJP is 5 per cent behind the Congress in terms of vote share. Congress is seen projected to get a 40 per cent vote share and BJP 35 per cent. JD(S) may get 17 per cent votes. At the same time, 8 per cent of the votes can go to others.  

Here's What Figures Of Entire Opinion Poll Say 

Parties And Seats (Total Seats – 224)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 74 to 86 seats 

Congress - 107 to 119 seats 

JD(S) - 23 to 35 seats 

Others - 0 to 5 seats 

  

Parties And Vote Share 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 35 per cent 

Congress - 40 per cent 

JD(S) - 17 per cent 

Others – 08 per cent 

  

Functioning Of Karnataka Government 

Source - Cvoter 

Good - 29 per cent 

Average – 19 per cent 

Bad - 52 per cent 

  

Work Of Karnataka Chief Minister 

Source - Cvoter 

Average – 25 per cent 

Good - 24 per cent 

Bad - 51 per cent 

  

Work Of Prime Minister Narendra Modi 

Source - Cvoter 

Good - 49 per cent 

Average – 18 per cent 

Bad - 33 per cent 

  

Preferred Karnataka CM 

Source - Cvoter 

Basavaraj Bommai - 31 per cent 

Siddaramaiah - 41 per cent 

HD Kumaraswamy - 22 per cent 

DK Shivakumar - 03 per cent 

Others – 03 per cent 

  

Biggest Issue In Karnataka 

Source - Cvoter 

Unemployment - 30 per cent 

Basic amenities - 24 per cent 

Education - 14 per cent 

Corruption – 13 per cent 

Law and order - 03 per cent 

Others – 16 per cent  

Karnataka Election - Area-Wise Projection Of Vote Share

Public Opinion And Vote Share In Greater Bangalore Region (32 seats) 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 36 per cent 

Congress - 43 per cent 

JD(S) - 14 per cent 

Others – 07 per cent 

  

Public Opinion And Seats In Greater Bangalore Region (32 seats) 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP – 11 to 15 seats 

Congress - 15 to 19 seats 

JD(S) - 2 to 4 seats 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

  

Vote Share In Old Mysore Region 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 24 per cent 

Congress - 36 per cent 

JD(S) - 34 per cent 

Others – 06 per cent 

  

Parties And Their Seats In Old Mysore Region (55 Seats)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 3 to 7 seats 

Congress - 21 to 25 seats 

JD(S) - 25 to 29 seats 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

  

Vote Share In Central Karnataka Region 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 36 per cent 

Congress - 41 per cent 

JD(S) - 14 per cent 

Others – 09 per cent 

  

Public Opinion Regarding Seats In Central Karnataka Region (35 Seats)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP – 12 to 16 seats 

Congress - 19 to 23 seats 

JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

 

Vote Share In Coastal Karnataka Region 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 48 per cent 

Congress - 33 per cent 

JD(S) - 10 per cent 

Others – 09 per cent 

  

Final Numbers On Seats In Coastal Karnataka Region (21 Seats)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP – 15 to 19 seats 

Congress - 3 to 5 seats 

JD(S) - 0-0 seats 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

  

Vote Share In Mumbai-Karnataka Region 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 42 per cent 

Congress - 43 per cent 

JD(S) - 08 per cent 

Others – 07 per cent 

 

Seats In Mumbai-Karnataka Region (50 Seats)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 20 to 24 seats 

Congress - 26 to 30 seats 

JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

  

Vote Share In Hyderabad-Karnataka Region 

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 37 per cent 

Congress - 45 per cent 

JD(S) - 11 per cent 

Others – 07 per cent 

  

Seats In Hyderabad Karnataka Region (31 Seats)

Source - Cvoter 

BJP - 8 to 12 seats 

Congress - 19 to 23 seats 

JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat 

Others - 0 to 1 seat 

ABP News had last released survey data related to the Karnataka elections previously on March 29. The then figures predicted 68-80 seats for the BJP, 115-127 seats for the Congress, 23-35 seats for the JD(S), and 0-2 seats for others.  

The counting of votes for the 224-member Karnataka Legislative Assembly will take place on May 13. 

ALSO READ | ABP Cvoter Opinion Poll: PM Modi, CM Bommai - Who Commands Clout Over Karnataka Voters?

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