ABP-CVoter Uttarakhand Predictions: BJP's Loss Likely To Be Congress' Gain; Will Anti-Incumbency Set In?

ABP CVoter Survey 2021: Ahead of the Uttarakhand assembly election slated to happen next year, BJP is trying to maintain its stronghold in the state while Congress raises issues of misgovernance which led to the resignation of Trivendra Rawat.

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While Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry are set to undergo the assembly elections in the coming months, Uttarakhand will have its polls happen next year with Bharatiya Janata Party completing 5 years of governance.

Recently, Uttarakhand went through a major overhaul as CM Trivendra Singh Rawat resigned after questions were raised against some of his decisions by fellow party members. Tirath Singh Rawat then took over the post barely days ahead of BJP completing 4 years of governance in the state.

Ahead of the Uttarakhand assembly election slated to happen next year, BJP is trying to maintain its stronghold in the state while Congress raises issues of misgovernance which led to the resignation of Trivendra Rawat.

As the tussle for power continues, ABP in partnership with C-Voter conducted a survey to understand the mood of people in Uttarakhand.

Vote Percentage

On the basis of the early projection, BJP is expected to see a decline of -8.2% in the percentage of votes. On the other hand, INC is projected to gain 2.3% votes in the upcoming polls. AAP may be able to gain some ground as the party is projected to gain a 9.2% vote percentage.

Alliance	2017 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
INC	33.5	40.8	7.3
BJP	46.5	38.3	-8.2
BSP	7.0	4.2	-2.8
AAP	0.0	9.2	9.2
Others	13.0	7.5	-5.5

Number Of Seats

According to the early projection, Congress is making gains with the INC coalition expected to win 35 seats, an increase of 24 as compared to last time. This comes as a concerning update for BJP as the party is projected to win 27 seats next, a loss of 30 seats in comparison to 2017 results.

Alliance	2017 Results	2021 Projection	Change
INC	11	35	24
BJP	57	27	-30
BSP	2	3	1
AAP	0	5	5
Others	0	0	0

In terms of the range of seats, INC is projected to receive 32 to 38 seats, BJP can have 24 to 30 seats; followed by AAP with 2 to 8, BSP with 0 to 6, and others 0 to 3.