Chhattisgarh Assembly Elections Exit Poll: Raman's magic worked; BJP all set for fourth successive term

Background

ABP News Exit Poll will predict which party is more likely to get people's mandate in Chhattisgarh where an incumbent BJP government under Chief Minister Raman Singh was pitched in a neck-to-neck fight with the Congress.

While BJP struggles to retain power in the state, Congress is looking forward to returning to power after a gap of 15 years, riding on a "strong anti-incumbency" wave.

The Janata Congress Chhattisgarh (JCC) -BSP alliance too is locked in the power-struggle, looking forward to retaining seats in its strong pockets. 

Elections were held in two phases to elect the Chhattisgarh Assembly on November 12 and 20. The counting of votes will take place on December 11. 

In the first phase, 18 constituencies of the southern part of the state, which are Naxal affected areas, went to polls on November 12 with 190 candidates in the fray and as per electoral rolls, there were 31,80,014 voters. Voting for the rest of the 72 assembly constituencies in Chhattisgarh election took place on November 20. The second phase which saw a total of 1079 candidates contesting in the 72 constituencies of the 19 districts in the state with an electorate of 1,54,00, 596.


The tenure of the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly comes to an end on January 5, 2019. The state is headed by Raman Singh of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). BJP had won 49 seats in 2013 assembly elections while the Congress party had bagged 39 seats.


ABP News Lokniti-CSDS Survey was conducted in the five states where elections were held -  Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Mizoram,  to predict the assembly election results.

20:25 PM (IST)  •  07 Dec 2018

Raman Singh leads comfortably in the race of the Chief Ministerial choice; Congress’ Bhupesh Baghel second but way behind.

19:04 PM (IST)  •  07 Dec 2018

The JCC-BSP alliance seems to have damaged the Congress more than the BJP. Nearly one in ten traditional Congress supporters seems to have voted for the alliance.

18:45 PM (IST)  •  07 Dec 2018

BJP is likely to clutch the giant share of the overall seats in the assembly. The BJP is likely to retain 52 seats of the 90 seats, securing yet another term in the state. BJP’s seat share in this election is expected to increase as compared to the previous assembly polls in which it had managed to grab 49 seats. The Indian National Congress is likely to secure 35 seats which is 4 less than what it secured in the previous assembly elections of 2013. The JCC-BSP alliance is likely to get 3 seats this time

#ABPExitPoll : BJP is likely to return to power in Chhattisgarh with 52 seats. Congress may get 35 seats. Others 3. https://t.co/DklVA2kRqn pic.twitter.com/buL20412zR

— ABP News (@abpnewstv) December 7, 2018

18:44 PM (IST)  •  07 Dec 2018

BJP is likely to clutch the giant share of the overall seats in the assembly. The BJP is likely to retain 52 seats of the 90 seats, securing yet another term in the state. BJP’s seat share in this election is expected to increase as compared to the previous assembly polls in which it had managed to grab 49 seats.

18:44 PM (IST)  •  07 Dec 2018

Looking at the overall estimate, BJP appears successful in reaching out to voters with 42% of votes in its bag, While Congress is likely to get 37% of votes in the state. The Janata Congress Chhattisgarh which had stitched an alliance with the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), will manage to hold 12% of the votes. The rest of the 9% is likely to go with the other parties.