ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: I.N.D.I.A, NDA Neck-And-Neck In Maharashtra

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: Maharashtra, with 48 Lok Sabha seats, holds strategic importance in India's upcoming elections. After the BJP's dominance in previous polls, exit polls predict a closer contest this time.

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: PM Narendra Modi, Maharashtra CM Eknath Shinde, and Deputy CM Devendra Fadnavis during a roadshow | Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge with NCP (SP) chief Sharad Pawar, and Shiv Sena (UBT) chief Uddhav Thackeray during a public meeting of I.N.D.I.A. bloc. ( Image Source :PTI )

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: With 48 seats, Maharashtra is the second most crucial state after Uttar Pradesh in the Lok Sabha elections. The state has historically played a pivotal role in the BJP's electoral success, contributing significantly to the party's majority in the past two general elections. The elections in Maharashtra were conducted in five phases to elect 48 members of Parliament. ABP-CVoter Exit Polls have revealed the final projections for the state where party splits made the contest more interesting and difficult to predict

Maharashtra ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Range Of Seats, Vote Share Percentage

According to the ABP-CVoter Exit Poll, it is a very close fight between the BJP-led NDA and I.N.D.I.A. The NDA may secure 22 to 26 seats while 23 to 25 are projected to go to I.N.D.I.A.

In terms of Vote share percentage, the NDA may secure 45.3% votes while the I.N.D.I.A. may secure 44%. Others are likely to get a 10.7% vote share.

Alliance	Range Of Seats (Total 48)	Vote Share Percentage
NDA	22 to 26	45.3%
I.N.D.I.A	23 to 25	44%
Others	-	10.7%

The state has a diverse array of constituencies, from the bustling metropolis of Mumbai to the agricultural heartlands of Aurangabad and Nashik.

In 2014, the BJP-led alliance secured 42 seats, and in 2019, the coalition bagged 41 seats. However, this time, a more challenging contest is expected.

Lok Sabha Elections 2024: Key Contests In Maharashtra

Maharashtra's list of constituencies includes Ahmednagar, Akola, Amravati, Aurangabad, Baramati, Beed, Bhandara Gondiya, Bhiwandi, Buldhana, Chandrapur, Dhule, Dindori, Gadchiroli Chimur, Hatkanangle, Hingoli, Jalgaon, Jalna, Kalyan, Kolhapur, Latur, Madha, Maval, Mumbai North, Mumbai North Central, Mumbai North East, Mumbai North West, Mumbai South, Mumbai South Central, Nagpur, Nanded, Nandurbar, Nashik, Osmanabad, Palghar, Parbhani, Pune, Raigad, Ramtek, Ratnagiri Sindhudurg, Raver, Sangli, Satara, Shirdi, Shirur, Solapur, Thane, Wardha, and Yavatmal Washim.

Significant battlegrounds in Maharashtra include Mumbai North where Piyush Goyal (BJP) made his electoral debut against actor-politician Bhushan Patil. Union Minister Nitin Gadkari (BJP) defends his seat in Nagpur, a traditional BJP stronghold. Nashik witnessed Rajabhau Waje (Shiv Sena UBT) versus Hemant Godse (Shiv Sena) in an intra-party rivalry. Aurangabad had Sandipanrao Bhumre (Shiv Sena) versus Chandrakant Khaire (Shiv Sena UBT) contest. Baramati contest was made interesting with Supriya Sule (NCP) defending her family stronghold against sister-in-law Sunetra Pawar. Nanded has Prataprao Chikhalikar (BJP) versus Vasantrao Chavan (INC) in a seat historically significant for Congress.

In the Mumbai North Central Seat, the BJP replaced Poonam Mahajan with Ujjwal Nikam, the renowned Special Public Prosecutor who spearheaded the legal battle in the 26/11 Mumbai Terror attack case, as its candidate. The Congress party's Varsha Gaikwad contested this seat against Nikam.

The BJP, under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has achieved back-to-back victories in 2014 and 2019, with the "Modi juggernaut" playing a crucial role in consolidating the party's position. As the 2024 Lok Sabha election results approach, the party's ability to maintain its stronghold in Maharashtra amidst emerging internal conflicts and robust opposition challenges will be keenly watched.

DISCLAIMER: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.