Telangana Opinion Poll 2023: Can Congress Wrest Power From BRS? Know Survey Findings
As the Telangana polls approach, parties in the region actively reshape alliances and strategies for the impending hotly contested battle, here's what the ABP News C-Voter opinion poll reveals.
The ABP News C-Voter Survey for the month of November, released on Saturday, indicated a significant shift in political dynamics, with the Indian National Congress (INC) giving a tough competition to the ruling party. According to the survey, the grand old party is poised to make significant gains in both votes and seats in the state, while the ruling Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) may face a significant challenge. Read on to take a glimpse of the findings, which provide insightful projections for the upcoming polls.
In terms of votes, the Chandrashekar Rao-led BRS, which dominated the last election with 46.9 per cent of the votes, is projected to dominate the vote share this year as well by securing 40.5 per cent of the votes, experiencing a swing of -6.4 per cent.
According to the survey, Congress has witnessed a substantial swing in its favour. In the last election, the party secured 28.3 per cent of the votes, but the current projection suggests that it is likely to receive 39.4 per cent of the votes, reflecting a remarkable swing of 11.1 per cent. This surge in support is expected to boost the INC's prospects in the upcoming election.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which secured 7.0 per cent of the votes in the previous election, is also set to make gains. The current projection places the BJP at 14.3 per cent, indicating a swing of 7.3 per cent in their favour.
The "Others" category, which includes parties beyond the INC, BJP, and BRS, is expected to witness a significant decline in support. In the last election, this category secured 17.8 per cent of the votes, but the current projection places it at 5.8 per cent, reflecting a substantial swing of -12.0 per cent.
ABP News C-Voter Survey: Expected Seat Share In Telangana Polls
Moving beyond vote share, the battle for seats in the Telangana Assembly is equally intriguing. The BRS alliance is expected to lose a significant number of seats while maintaining its lead over other parties. The alliance held 88 seats in the last election, but the current projection places them at 55 seats, indicating a significant swing of -33 seats.
The INC is projected to secure a significant number of seats, with a swing of 30, according to the survey. In the last election, the INC had 19 seats, but the current projection places it at 49 seats, a remarkable growth in its legislative representation.
The BJP is also expected to make gains in terms of seats, with a swing of 7. In the previous election, they held only one seat, but the current projection suggests they may secure eight seats, reflecting their growing influence in the state.
The projected range of seats for each party in the upcoming election is as follows:
- INC is expected to secure between 43 to 55 seats.
- BJP is projected to win between 5 to 11 seats.
- BRS, the ruling alliance, is anticipated to secure between 49 to 61 seats.
- The "Others" category, including AIMIM, is projected to gain between 4 to 10 seats.
With the Telangana Assembly Election 2023 just weeks away, political parties in the region are actively reshaping their alliances and strategies, setting the stage for a closely contested battle. For more 2023 assembly poll-related stories, click here.
(Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll CATI interviews conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters (sample size 9,631). The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)
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