Rajasthan Election Opinion Poll: 'Revolving Door' Trend Likely To Continue As BJP Gives Tough Fight To Congress

Rajasthan ABP CVoter Opinion Poll 2023: ABP News and CVoter conducted an opinion poll offering insights into the potential seat distribution and vote share percentages in the Congress-ruled state.

File Photos of Rajasthan CM Ashok Gehlot and his predecessor, BJP leader Vasundhara Raje ( Image Source :PTI )

With the Rajasthan assembly elections scheduled for November 25 and the counting of votes set to take place on December 3, political fervor is gripping the state. The Congress, aiming for a second consecutive term in Rajasthan, has launched a series of pro-people schemes in the desert state, along with the announcement of seven guarantees. Meanwhile, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is vying for a comeback, hoping to unseat the ruling Congress government led by Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot.

To gauge the electoral landscape, ABP News and CVoter conducted an opinion poll, offering insights into the potential seat distribution and vote share percentages for the upcoming Rajasthan Assembly election. 

Rajasthan Election 2023: Projection For Range Of Seats

In the latest opinion poll conducted by ABP News and CVoter for the upcoming Rajasthan Assembly election, the ruling Indian National Congress (INC) is projected to secure between 67 to 77 seats, whereas the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to win between 114 to 124 seats. The projections show that Rajasthan is likely to see a continuation of the revolving door trend in the state.

Meanwhile, the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) could win 0 to 4 and Others can claim 5 to 9, the snap poll data reveals.

Rajasthan Election 2023: Projection For Vote Share Percentage

When it comes to the vote share percentage, the INC, which had a 39.3% share in the last election, is expected to see an increase to 41.7%, indicating a swing of 2.4%. In contrast, the BJP, which had a 38.8% vote share previously, is projected to experience a significant rise to 44.8%, marking a swing of 6.0%.

The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), which had a 4.0% vote share in the last election, is expected to witness a decrease in its vote share to 2.2%, resulting in a swing of -1.8%. Meanwhile, the "Others" category, which held a 17.9% vote share in the last election, is projected to see a decline to 11.3%, indicating a swing of -6.6%.

As the election draws near, the political landscape in Rajasthan appears poised for an intense battle, with both the Congress and the BJP eyeing a significant victory. The results of the election will ultimately determine the fate of the state's governance and reflect the will of the people.

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll CATI interviews conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters (sample size 63,516). The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.]