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Predicting Crypto Price Without Even Owning Coins? Here's How Crypto Future Can Help You Tackle Risks

Crypto futures contracts are powerful financial tools that give traders and investors a way to hedge and manage risk in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.

Futures trading isn't a new concept; it's been around for decades, especially in traditional markets for trading commodities like oil, gold, and agricultural products. With the digital revolution in finance, futures have also found their way into the cryptocurrency world. While the assets and some aspects differ, the basic principles of trading futures remain the same.

What are Crypto Futures?

Crypto futures contracts let you predict the future price of a cryptocurrency without actually owning it. Like traditional futures for commodities or stocks, crypto futures allow you to agree to buy or sell a specific cryptocurrency at a set price on a future date.

Types of Crypto Futures

Perpetual Futures Contracts: These do not have an expiry date, allowing traders to hold positions indefinitely. They are typically subject to periodic funding rates to keep the contract price close to the spot price.

Fixed-Date Futures Contracts: These have a specific expiration date and time. Traders must settle their positions by this date, either through physical delivery of the asset or cash settlement.

How Do Crypto Futures Work?

Crypto futures are contracts that allow you to predict the future price of a cryptocurrency, like Bitcoin, without owning it. These contracts have an expiration date, time and a set price. When the contract expires, you must settle it by either taking delivery of the crypto or settling in cash.

Example: Imagine Bitcoin is currently trading at $30,000. You believe its price will rise, so you enter a futures contract to buy one Bitcoin at $30,000, expiring in one month. This means you agree to buy Bitcoin at $30,000, no matter what the market price is at the contract's expiry.

Leverage: Futures let you control a large position with a small amount of money. For example, with 10x leverage, you only need $3,000 to control a $30,000 position. If Bitcoin’s price rises to $35,000, you make a $5,000 profit, a significant return on your $3,000 investment. But if the price drops to $25,000, you face a $5,000 loss.

Shorting: Futures contracts also allow you to profit from falling prices. If you think Bitcoin's price will drop, you can enter a futures contract to sell Bitcoin at a certain price. If the price does fall, you can buy Bitcoin at the lower market price and sell it at the higher contract price, making a profit.

Hedging: Traders use futures to protect against price swings. If you own 10 Bitcoins and worry about a price drop, you could enter a futures contract to sell 10 Bitcoins at $30,000. If the price falls to $25,000, your futures position gains $5,000, offsetting the loss on your actual Bitcoin holdings.

Risks and Considerations

While crypto futures contracts offer many benefits, they also come with risks. Here are some key points to consider:

  • High Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are known for their wild price swings. This presents opportunities for profit but also increases the risk of significant losses, especially when using leverage.
  • Margin Calls and Liquidation: Leveraged trading can lead to margin calls if the market moves against your position. If you don't add more funds to your margin account, your position may be liquidated, resulting in a loss.
  • Complexity: Futures trading requires a good understanding of market dynamics, technical analysis, and risk management. It's not suitable for beginners without enough knowledge and experience.
  • Regulatory Risks: The rules and regulations for cryptocurrencies and futures trading are constantly changing. New regulations can affect the availability and legality of futures trading in different regions.

Crypto futures contracts are powerful financial tools that give traders and investors a way to hedge and manage risk in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market. While they offer significant opportunities for profit, they also come with considerable risks. Understanding how these contracts work and the strategies involved is crucial for anyone looking to participate in this dynamic market. As the cryptocurrency space continues to evolve, futures trading will likely play an increasingly important role in shaping its future.

(The author is the CEO and Co-founder of Mudrex, a global crypto investment platform)

Disclaimer: The opinions, beliefs, and views expressed by the various authors and forum participants on this website are personal and do not reflect the opinions, beliefs, and views of ABP Network Pvt. Ltd. Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. Cryptocurrency is not a legal tender and is subject to market risks. Readers are advised to seek expert advice and read offer document(s) along with related important literature on the subject carefully before making any kind of investment whatsoever. Cryptocurrency market predictions are speculative and any investment made shall be at the sole cost and risk of the readers.

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