ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Leads & SP Is Biggest Challenger In Latest UP Survey. Check BSP & Congress Share

ABP News and CVoter bring you the opinion poll of Uttar Pradesh, as most eyeballs are glued on the upcoming 2022 UP Assembly Election.

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll | UP CM Yogi Adityanath and SP Chief Akhilesh Yadav

New Delhi: Assembly Elections 2022 bugle has been sounded as the Election Commission of India (ECI) on Saturday announced the dates for upcoming assembly polls in five states. Voting in five poll-bound states will commence from February 10, as per the polling schedule declared by the ECI, and the verdict will be out on March 10.

Ahead of the assembly elections in Uttarakhand, Manipur, Goa, Punjab, and Uttar Pradesh, ABP News teamed up with CVoter to understand the pulse of the voters in the latest round of the survey. Here is a look at the ABP-CVoter opinion poll conducted in Uttar Pradesh, as all eyes are on this state with the largest Legislative Assembly.

UP Election 2022 Dates: Polling To Be Held In 7 Phases Starting Feb 10 – Check District-Wise Schedule

UP Assembly Election 2022: Vote Share & Projected Range Of Seats By ABP CVoter Opinion Poll

As per the latest Vote Share projection by ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll, the BJP has elevated itself from the November and December projections and appears to be bagging the highest vote share at 41.5%.

Akhilesh Yadav-led SP and its allies are likely to take away 33.3% of the vote share in UP Vidhan Sabha Polls 2022.

BSP's latest vote share projection in the upcoming 2022 UP polls shows a further decline, while Priyanka Gandhi's aggressive campaign for Congress is also not creating flutters as the party's vote share remains more or less the same in the latest projection.   

Projected Range Of Seats

Under the leadership of UP CM Yogi Adityanath, BJP looks safe when it comes to attaining a majority in the 403-member legislative assembly. ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll projects that BJP will be able to secure 223-235 seats. SP will be able to win 145-157 assembly seats, a big improvement from its 2017 outing.

Mayawati-led BSP seems to be headed to lose ground, as per the latest ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll projections. BSP is predicted to win 8-16 seats only. Congress tally is likely to stay under ten.

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll Projected Range Of Seats By Region | UP Assembly Election 2022

Uttar Pradesh has the biggest state assembly in India, making the regional permutations and combinations for political parties a bit of a trick. While BJP leads in all the regions namely Avadh, Bundelkhand, Poorvanchal, and Western UP, let us have a look at the seat projection range for all the other parties.

Projected Range Of Seats Awadh

Projected Range Of Seats Bundelkhand

Projected Range Of Seats Purvanchal

Projected Range Of Seats Western UP

 

DISCLAIMER: The present opinion poll/survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 89536+ across 5 states (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa, and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 12th December 2021 to 8th January 2022. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.