ABP News-CVoter Survey: AAP Nears Majority Mark In Punjab, Projected Much Ahead Of Congress

ABP CVoter Survey for Punjab Election 2022: ABP News along with CVoter conducted the final opinion poll in the state to gauge the voters’ pulse ahead of the high-profile election. 

ABP CVoter Survey for Punjab Election 2022:

ABP CVoter Survey for Punjab Election 2022: Punjab, the state which has been experiencing high-voltage politics since the past year will go into single-phase polling on February 20.

With few days left for the voting day, ABP News along with CVoter conducted the final opinion poll in the state to gauge the voters’ pulse ahead of the high-profile election. 

A day earlier, Rahul Gandhi chose Charanjeet Singh Channi over Navjot Singh Sidhu as the Chief Minister face for the Congress party. While Gandhi said Channi was picked to focus on empowerment of the poor, many see it as an attempt to beat anti-incumbency as the party has been struggling with infighting among the leaders. 

On the other hand, Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party which is contesting the Punjab polls for the first time had declared much earlier that the party will fight the election with Bhagwant Mann as the CM face.

ABP News-CVoter Survey: BJP, Congress Neck And Neck With Hung Uttarakhand Assembly In Sight

The Bhartiya Janta Party is fighting the polls in alliance with Captain Amarinder Singh who quit Congress after a feud with Sidhu and formed his own party Punjab Lok Congress. BJP also has an alliance with SAD (Sanyukt)  for the upcoming polls.

With new electoral coalitions and splits between old allies, Punjab politics looks different than it was during the 2017 assembly elections. Hence opinion poll results for Punjab are a lot different than the previous election.

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll | Punjab Assembly Election 2022: Vote Share and Projected Seat Range

In the ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is getting the most number of projected seats. The party seems to be making inroads in the state as it is likely to cross the majority mark, i.e. 59 seats in the 117 seat assembly elections, and may form the government.

AAP is projected to win between 55 to 63 assembly seats, while incumbent Congress is coming second with a projected seat range between 24 to 30 seats.

SAD and its alliance may gain between 20 to 26 assembly seats as per the final Opinion poll on Punjab Elections 2022. BJP is projected to bag seats in the range of 3 to 11.

Punjab is divided majorly into three regions: Majha, Doaba, and Malwa.

Of the regions—Malwa is the biggest with 69 Assembly seats in 12 districts and Kejriwal-led AAP seems to be gaining the most in this region with the projected seat range of 45-49 seats.

Manjha has 25 Assembly seats in 4 districts and Congress is likely to lead in this region with 8-12 seats. Doaba has 23 assembly seats in 3 districts the Congress party seems to be ahead in this region with 6-10 seats, while there is a neck-to-neck competition between SAD+ and AAP.

Vote Share

The AAP Aadmi Party is likely to lead in the vote share percentage with 39.8 percent of votes as per the final ABP CVoter Opinion Poll while Congress is at the second position with a vote share of 30%. The SAD alliance is at the third with a 20.2 percent vote share.

If we look at the vote percent region-wise, AAP has the highest support of 45 percent from the Malwa region while Doaba and Manjha regions seem to be contributing to Congress vote share.

[Disclaimer: The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 136579 across 5 states (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 11th January 2022 to 6th February 2022. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.]