Neck-And-Neck Battle In Delhi As Exit Polls Predicted, But What Will Be The Final Result?

In the Delhi elections, AAP initially led after one hour of counting, while BJP trailed closely. Exit polls predicted a close contest between BJP and AAP, with BJP favoured by most polls.

Whom will Delhi choose? Top leaders (from left) Parvesh Verma of the BJP, AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal, and Congress's Sandeep Dikshit.

Source : PTI

Delhi Election Results: The early trends in the counting of votes for Delhi elections showed the results going the exit polls way as AAP secured a marginal lead after one hour of counting. The BJP was close after leading for one hour on nearly 50 seats, while the Congress lagged with leads on just 1 seat. At 9:12 AM, AAP was leading on 35 seats while the BJP had a 34-seat lead. 

Before the voting on February 5, the high-voltage campaigns and attacks by the BJP, the AAP, and the Congress shaped the 2025 Delhi election into a three-way contest. But as the voting ended and the exit poll results emerged, the elections looked to be a contest between the BJP and the AAP, with the Congress nowhere in the contest.

What Exit Polls Predicted

Most exit polls predicted a tight contest between the BJP and the AAP, with the exit survey results leaning towards a win for the saffron party. The Matrize Exit Poll showed a BJP edge with 35-40 seats, with the Aam Aadmi Party close behind with wins in 32-37 seats and Congress getting a maximum of 1 seat. The Chanakya Strategies survey showed the BJP crossing the halfway mark with 39-44 seats, AAP getting 25-28 seats, and Congress getting 2-3 seats.

The People's Pulse exit poll, too, predicted a decisive win for the NDA with victories on 51-60 seats and the AAP getting just 10-19 seats. Congress, the survey estimated, would score nil.  

People's Insight exit poll projected 40-44 seats for the BJP, 25-29 seats for the AAP, and a maximum of 1 seat for the Congress. The P-Marq exit poll predicted 39-49 seats for the BJP, 21-31 for AAP, and a maximum of 1 victory for Congress. The JVC exit poll suggested a similar trend, predicting 39-45 seats for the BJP, 22-31 for the AAP, and 0-2 for Congress.

However, exit polls have been known to go completely wrong, especially in recent times as we saw in Haryana. Even in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls and Maharashtra elections, the exit surveys predicted NDA wins but missed the mark on the victory margins.