West Bengal Exit Poll: Mamata-Led TMC To Return To Power; BJP To Emerge As Second Largest Party

West Bengal Exit Poll Results: While a straight fight is expected between the BJP and the TMC on most of the seats, the CPI (M)-Congress-ISF alliance has made the battle triangular on several seats.

(Image: ABP News)

West Bengal Exit Poll Results: The eighth and the final phase of the West Bengal Assembly elections concluded today and people await the results for the 294 assembly seats. The most intense political battle was witnessed in Bengal with Mamata Banerjee leaving her home seat Bhawanipore and contesting from Nandigram against former ally now BJP Leader Suvendu Adhikari. The state has recorded an average of around 80 per cent polling.

While a straight fight is expected between the BJP and the TMC on most of the seats, the CPI (M)-Congress-ISF alliance has made the battle triangular on several seats. Bengal experienced the most critical assembly elections in 2021 with factors like NRC, CAA, and religious polarisation, the most important one which is expected to be the decider of the results will be the handling of Covid 19. 

In the 2016 West Bengal Assembly Elections Mamata Banerjee registered a thumping majority of  211 of the 294 seats with Congress-Left combine got 76 seats. 

While BJP is experiencing criticism at a national level for Covid mismanagement, Mamata's TMC is facing strong anti-incumbency sentiment after ruling the state for 10 years. The results for the 294 seats will be declared on May 2nd, 2021.

West Bengal Exit Poll Results: Vote Share

ABP News along with C-Voter conducted an Exit Poll to gauge the mood of voters in West Bengal. As per the survey, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to make significant inroads in Bengal with bagging as much as 39 per cent vote share. It is to be noted that the saffron party managed to secure mere 10 per cen vote share in 2016 Assembly polls. 

In a massive jolt, Congress+Left alliance is most likely to lose its grounds in West Bengal as projections suggest that it will manage to secure only 15 per cent vote share. In 2016 Assembly polls, Congress & Left had secured a gigantic 38 per cent vote share.

West Bengal Exit Poll Results: Seat Range

According to the survey conducted by ABP News, Mamata Banerjee-led TMC is expected to get somewhere around 152 to 164 seats in the 294-member West Bengal Assembly. 

Meanwhile, the BJP , which currently has 3 seats in West Bengal, is likely to bag somewhere between 109 to 121 seats in the state. The Congress and Left alliance will manage to secure around 14 to 25 seats. In 2016 Assembly elections, Congress+Left had managed to bag 76 seats.

Magic figure required in the state is 147, the minimum seats required for a party or a coalition to stake claim for the government formation.

Meanwhile, considering the alarming spike in the number of Covid cases in the country, the Election Commission of India has made it mandatory that no candidate/agent will be allowed inside the counting centres on May 2 without undergoing RT-PCR/RAT test or without having taken two doses of vaccine against Covid-19.

The results of the Assembly elections held in five states/UT -- West Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry -- will be announced on May 2. 

Top Findings Of ABP-CVoter Bengal Exit Poll Result:

• According to the exit poll, the incumbent Trinamool Congress, led by Mamata Banerjee, is likely to retain power for the third consecutive term amid a robust challenge from the BJP. 
• The survey suggests that Left, which had ruled the state for more than three decades, is likely to be reduced to a marginal player, despite having a pre-poll alliance with country’s grand old party – Congress.
• Region wise, the survey data shows that the ruling TMC is expected to grab 13 to 15 seats in Daltaic Region, BJP is likely to win 11 to 13 seats here; in the Greater Kolkata, while TMC is projected to secure 37 to 39 seats, BJP is expected to corner 16 to 18 seats. In the region of Highlands, according survey projection, while TMC is likely to register victory on 25 to 27 seats, BJP is expected to grab 23 to 25 seats; in the North Border region.
• TMC is expected to emerge winner on 29 to 31 seats and BJP is likely to win 20 to 22 seats. In the Northern Hills region, while TMC is likely to garner 11 to 13 seats, BJP is expected to register victory on 14 to seats. Southern Plains is another region, where TMC is expected to grab large number of seats as the party is expected to 37 to 39 seats, BJP is likely to win 25 to 27 seats.

[The present opinion poll / survey was conducted by C Voter Services Pvt. Ltd. The methodology used is Computer Assisted Telephonic Interviews [CATI] for Opinion Polls and Face to face methodology for Exit Poll and the sample size for the same is 2,30,500 (sum of all opinion and exit polls in all states) & the survey was carried out during the period January 1, 2021, until the end of elections in the five states. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of +/-3% at Macro level and +/-5% at Micro Level and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria / aspects and was broadly based upon answers provided by the respondents during the interviews.]