Haryana Exit Polls Results: Did Congress Manage To Cash In On Anti-Incumbency Against BJP?
Haryana Exit Polls: Going into the polls, the Congress was confident of returning to power after a decade. Was its confidence unfounded, or did it hit gold with its strategic manoeuvres. Check here.
Haryana Exit Polls: The Haryana Congress is pretty confident of its performance in the Haryana Assembly elections and the exit poll results point to a smooth sailing ahead for the party to form the government. Just like the BJP, the Congress was hit by factionalism as the camps of Sirsa MP Kumari Selja and former CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda seemed to be at loggerheads over ticket distribution. However, it seems to have overcome that with its sheer organisational strength as per the exit polls.
On the other hand, the anti-incumbency against the BJP seemed to work in favour of the Congress. With the BJP, concentrating on the General category votes after break-up with JJP, the biggest challenge for the Congress was perhaps the possible division of Jat votes between JJP and Abhay Chautala's INLD. It seems to have cracked the Jat vote formula too.
The Congress's manifesto promises, which were similar to those of the BJP, also seemed to have helped owing to its promises of monthly allowances to women and employment promises for the youth.
WATCH | एग्जिट पोल के आंकड़ों में कांग्रेस की सरकार बनना... कांग्रेस के नेतृत्व का करिश्मा है या भाजपा के खिलाफ विरोध की लहर का असर ? देखिए, वरिष्ठ पत्रकार बलवंत तक्षक का विश्लेषण
— ABP News (@ABPNews) October 5, 2024
देखिए, रोहित सिंह सावल (@SavalRohit) के साथ
'महा' EXIT POLL#ExitPoll #JammuKashmirElections… pic.twitter.com/RX1a4AomD0
The Congress's move to consolidate Jat, Dalit, and Muslim votes is also likely to have boosted its chances. The Congress's campaign seemed to slow down towards the fag end. But this seemed to have no effect on the winning aspirations of the party. The Congress was also banking heavily on its Julana candidate Olympian Vinesh Phogat to cash in on the anti-BJP sentiments among the wrestling community.
WATCH | जवान, किसान और पहलवान का मुद्दा कांग्रेस के पक्ष में काम कर गया क्या ? एग्जिट पोल का आंकड़ा यही इशारा कर रहा है?
— ABP News (@ABPNews) October 5, 2024
वरिष्ठ पत्रकार @AadeshRawal और BJP प्रवक्ता @alok_ajay के साथ चर्चा
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According to the major pollsters who conducted the exit polls, the Congress is headed for absolute majority.
| Name | BJP | Congress | INLD | JJP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhruv Research | 27 | 57+ | - | 0 | 6 |
| CVoter | 20-28 | 50-58 | - | 0-2 | 10-14 |
| Matrize | 18-24 | 55-62 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-8 |
| People's Pulse | 26 (+/-7) | 55 (+/-7) | 2-3 | - | 4-6 |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 15-29 | 44-54 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6-9 |
| News24-Chanakya | 18-24 | 55-62 | - | - | 2-5 |
| Times Now | 22-32 | 50-64 | - | - | 2-8 |
| JIST-TIF Research | 29-37 | 43-53 | 0-2 | 0 | 4-6 |
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