ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP To Repeat 2019 Victory In Bihar, But Silver Lining For Oppn, Says Survey

The NDA is projected to get 50% vote share while the Congress-led opposition alliance is expected to get 35% votes. 

File photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Bihar CM Nitish Kumar. ( Image Source :PTI )

Bihar is likely to witness a high-stakes battle in the upcoming Lok Sabha Elections as the BJP-led NDA alliance will be looking forward to repeating the 2019 victory margin while the Congress-led I.N.D.I.A alliance trying to give a tough fight.

In order to gauge the mood of the state, ABP News in association with CVoters conducted an opinion poll which predicted a clear majority for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in Bihar.

The NDA is projected to get 50% vote share while the Congress-led opposition alliance is expected to get 35% votes. The survey projected NDA willing 32 seats while the Congress-RJD alliance willing 8 seats.

WATCH | बिहार में NDA को मिल सकता है 50% वोट, INDIA को हो सकता है नुकसान : सर्वे

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In the 2019 Lok sabha elections, the NDA coalition, consisting of BJP, JD(U), and LJP, achieved a resounding triumph, securing 39 out of 40 seats. The Mahagathbandhan, comprising Congress, RJD, and RLSP, managed to secure just one seat.

Though the BJP is expected to sweep the state, the projection shows that the Congress-RJD alliance is likely to increase its share of seats in the nothern state.

With 40 Lok Sabha seats, Bihar holds a significant position in Indian politics as it is the fourth largest contributor in terms of seats. The state's elections therefore hold the power to turn the tides of general polls at any given time. 

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI) conducted among 41,762 adults, all confirmed voters. The surveys were conducted from February 1 to March 10, 2024. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. The final data has socio-economic profiles within +/- 1% of the demographic profile of the states. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all 543 electoral constituencies in the country. The margin of error is +/- 5% and the vote share projections have been done with 95% confidence interval.]