Kerala Exit Poll: Manorama News-VMR Predicts No NDA Seat; LDF Could Gain But UDF On Top

A report by Manorama News claimed that the NDA will not open its account in Kerala in this election, despite intense political campaigning by PM Modi himself.

BJP candidate Kummanam Rajasekharan (L), Congress MP Rahul Gandhi (C), and LDF chief Pinarayi Vijayan(R).

Source : PTI

With the curtains drawn on polling, the exit polls out, and just one day remaining in the announcement of the Lok Sabha elections results, the country and the candidates await to see what the electoral fate of the nation would turn out to be and how many seats would each of the political parties end up winning.

In the god's own country, Kerala, the political battle is a rather gripping one with several key battles in various constituencies including Wayanad and Thiruvananthapuram. 

While the ABP CVoter exit polls projected a clean sweep for the I.N.D.I.A bloc in the southern state, it also hinted at the possibility of the Bharatiya Janata Party making its breakthrough in the state with one to three seats.

The opposition alliance, on the other hand, is likely to retain its power in the state, winning17 to 19 seats. Although the LDF is not projected to win any seats in Kerala, the alliance is anticipated to secure a 33.3 percent vote share. 

Similarly, the India Today-Axis My India exit polls also reflected similar figures, with the Congress-led alliance winning 17 to 18 seats out of the 20 seats in Kerala. The exit poll also hinted that the CPM-led LDF might secure zero to one seat. 

For NDA, the exit poll projected a significant political debut with two to three seats. 

Doubt Looms Over BJP's Debut In Kerala

However, the Kerala-based Manorama News, in its VMR exit polls has predicted a massive win again for the Congress led United Democratic Front alliance in Kerala and no seat for the NDA.

According to the VMR exit polls, the UDF is expected to win 16 to 18 seats, while the CPM-led Left front is likely to bag two to four seats. Interestingly, these exit polls have predicted that NDA will draw a blank again in Kerala, which is in sharp contrast to various national surveys that hinted at BJP's breakthrough in Kerala.

A report by Manorama News claimed that the NDA will not open its account in this election, despite intense political campaigning by PM Modi himself.

Although the BJP-led alliance might not end up winning, the VMR exit polls predicted on Sunday that BJP might finish second in two constituencies — Thiruvananthapuram and Pathanamthitta.

Emerging as a runner up in these seats would mean that the saffron party would push the LDF candidates to the third position, the survey predicted.

The report added that the LDF, however, is likely to showcase a better performance as compared to its 2019 performance, adding more seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls.

According to the survey, the Left alliance in Vadakara and Palakkad would have an upper hand, while in Kannur and Alathur it could witness a stiff competition.

The UDF could get 42.46 percent votes, while the LDF may poll 35.09 percent, the Manorama News survey noted. The BJP alliance would only receive 18.64 percent votes, which would be 3.7 per cent more than that secured in the 2019 general elections.

Even though the UDF might be headed for a clean sweep, the survey results suggest that it could see a decline in vote share by 4.76 per cent.

The LDF too might witness a decrease in the vote share by 0.64 percent.