Bihar Elections 2020 ABP Opinion Poll: Nitish Kumar, Sushasan Babu of Bihar, is all set for his fourth term in Bihar, as projected by the opinion poll conducted by ABP News and C Voter, after the dates of the upcoming assembly elections were announced on Friday.  NDA under CM Nitish Kumar  is projected to amass 45% of the total vote share, and is likely to bag 141 to 161 seats of the 243 member strong assembly , making massive inroads in Congress’ and RJD’s bastions as well.


Also Read: Bihar Elections ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll LIVE: Nitish-Led NDA Predicted To Sweep Bihar Polls With 141- 161 Seats

ABP News conducted the survey with a sample size of over 25,000, to gauge the mood of the voters in Bihar ahead of the assembly polls.

The term of Nitish Kumar who is just few months shy of becoming the longest serving Chief Minister, was eclipsed by a brief CM stint by Jitan Ram Manjhi from 20 May 2014 to 20 February 2015.

In 2015, the NDA won 34.1% votes. This time UPA is predicted to get only 33% of the votes. Others are likely to get 22% of the votes.

The UPA comprising of key opponent parties Congress and RJD, is projected to get between 64-84 seats. Other parties may win 13-23 seats.

Nitish remains first choice for CM: 

As per the survey, 31% of the respondents in Bihar have said that they want Nitish Kumar to be the Chief Minister of the state. Eight percent voted for Lalu Yadav as preferred CM candidate, while Tejashwi was preferred by 15% of the respondents.  28% of the respondents have rated his work as good, while 27% have rated Kumar's work as "average", however, 45 % of the people have voted his performance as "poor."

Also Read: Bihar Election Dates Announced: Polls To Be Held On Oct 28, Nov 3 And Nov 7, Results On Nov 10

Region-wise projection of ABP News- CVoter survey:

In East Bihar region, the NDA is likely to make massive inroads clinching 14 to 18 seats of the total 27 seats, while the UPA is likely be reduced to 7-11 range in the region which once used to be its strongholds.

In  Magadh Bhojpur region, NDA’s predicted range of seats is 39-43 adding a good number to its previous tally of 19 seats in the region. Losing out on a major chunk, UPA is projected to get 20-24 seats in the region.

In Mithilanchal, of the total 50 seats, NDA is projected to win seats ranging between 27-31, UPA is likely to lose out a huge chunk here too and may be limited to 16-20 range. Others may get 2 - 4 seats.

North Bihar too holds positive outputs for NDA as the ruling alliance is likely to win seats ranging between 47 to 51 in the region which has 73 assembly seats, whereas UPA is projected to lose crucial seats here and is likely to be reduced to 17-21 range.

In Seemanchal, NDA is likely to win 14 to 18 seats of the total 24 seats in the region, limiting UPA to the range of 4 to 8 seats.

Bihar election dates:

Elections will be conducted in three phases with the first phase of polling for 71 constituencies in 16 districts to be held on October 28, the second phase for 94 seats in 17 districts on November 3 and the remaining 78 seats in 15 districts on November 7.

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