India Qualifications Chances: Team India, led by Harmanpreet Kaur, registered a thumping win over Sri Lanka as they defeated the Chamari Athapaththu-led side by 82 runs in the 12th match of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2024 at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai on October 9 (Wednesday). This convincing win put India back on track after they began their T20 World Cup campaign off on a poor note with a defeat against New Zealand.
After the win, India climbed to the second spot in the Group A points table of the Women’s T20 World Cup and also knocked Sri Lanka out of the tournament. India are second with four points in three matches, having won two and lost one. They are only behind Australia, who are leading with four points in two matches, having won both their games.
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The 82-run victory also propelled India’s Net Run Rate (NRR) to +0.576, best after Australia in Group A. However, the Women in Blue are still now guaranteed of a semi final berth as along with Australia, Pakistan and New Zealand are also still very much in the race for a place in the Women's T20 World Cup semi finals 2024.
Here’s a look at India’s semi final qualification scenario for the T20 World Cup 2024:
What India Need To Do In Order To Secure Semi Final Berth?
If India beat Australia and Australia beat Pakistan:
India will next play against defending champions Australia on October 13. For India to have good chances of securing a semi final berth, they must beat Australia. If India beat Australia, they will finish with six points on the points table. However, if Australia defeat Pakistan and then lose to India, they will also end the group stage with six points.
If New Zealand win remaining matches:
New Zealand, on the other hand, could also finish with six points if they win their remaining matches against Sri Lanka and Pakistan, respectively. In case that happens, it will all come down to the NRR, with the teams with better NRR advancing to the final-four stage.
If Australia defeat India:
However, if India lose to Australia in their final Group A fixture, they will require favourable outcomes from other matches as they will end up with four points. India will then need Pakistan and New Zealand to at least lose their remaining two matches respectively and must also achieve a better NRR than both teams to secure second place in Group A.
If India lose to Australia but Pakistan and New Zealand win one match each:
Both Pakistan and New Zealand have two matches remaining in Group A, including a clash against each other on October 14. If India lose to Australia and both New Zealand and Pakistan win one of their respective matches and lose the other, they will finish the group stage with four points. In that case the team with better NRR will advance to the semi finals. However, if either team win both of their matches, they will advance to six points.
If India defeat Australia and Australia defeat Pakistan, and New Zealand win both their matches:
If India defeat Australia, Australia defeat Pakistan and New Zealand win both of their remaining matches, then there will be three teams—Australia, India, and New Zealand—tied on six points. In that case again, the NRR will be the determining factor.