ABP CVoter Survey Assembly Election 2022: Leaders and political parties are making the last-ditch efforts to sway the voters to their side as voting Assembly Elections 2022 for Goa is due shortly.
The date of polling in Goa is February 14, 2022, while the assembly poll result will be declared on March 10.
With just days left for the crucial assembly elections in Goa, ABP News along with CVoter conducted a survey to gauge the mood of people in the poll-bound state.
Goa Election 2022 — Vote Share %
In the January Opinion Poll, the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) was leading the way and looking to gain the most seats in the coastal state of Goa. Now as per the latest ABP News-CVoter Survey, BJP is still ahead with a 30% vote share to be going its way but came down slightly from January. Congress covered some ground in the poll-bound state as the latest ABP News-CVoter Survey suggests 23.6% vote is being captured by them. AAP has the most progressive edge, given the time it has spent in the state, with a 24% vote share coming its way.
Goa Election 2022 — Seat Projection
In the Goa assembly election 2022, by looking at the vote share percentage as predicted by the ABP News-CVoter survey, the contest appears to be tricornered between BJP, Congress, and AAP.
However, on a deep dive looking at the seats projected range by ABP News-CVoter survey, BJP is coming out ahead of both with 14 to 18 seats, Congress at 10 to 14 seats, and AAP at 4 to 8 assembly seats.
As you can see, Congress is making some gains in the last phase of campaigning and looks to surge ahead of the AAP, which was placed second in January's opinion poll. BJP is projected to win the highest 14-18 seats, but still falling short of the majority mark.
ABP News-CVoter February survey shows BJP ahead of the Congress, but not going beyond the 20-seat majority mark in Goa. Smaller parties and independent candidates will play a key role in government formation in the state.
Disclaimer: The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 136579 across 5 states (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 11th January 2022 to 6th February 2022. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.