ABP Cvoter Survey for Uttarakhand Election 2022: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had conquered the throne of Dehradun in the 2017 Uttarakhand Assembly elections. The situation, however, appears confusing this time as the hill state has seen three chief ministers during a period of five years.
The BJP-led alliance emerged victorious in 57 seats in the last assembly polls, while the Congress plus won just 11 seats.
With all eyes set on the Uttarakhand Assembly polls scheduled to be held early next year, ABP News and C-Voter tried to gauge the voters’ mood ahead of the high-voltage electoral battle.
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ABP Cvoter Uttarakhand Election 2022 - Seat Projection
The BJP-led alliance is likely to get 44-48 seats in the 70-member Uttarakhand Assembly, according to the ABP-CVoter survey.
The Congress-led alliance is likely to make gains this time as the survey suggests the grand old party will win 19 to 23 seats.
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which will make its electoral debut in the hill state, is expected to win just 0-4 seats, while the others will bag just 0-2 seats as per the survey.
ABP Cvoter Uttarakhand Election 2022 - Vote Share
The BJP-led alliance is likely to get 43.1% of votes this time, which is a decline of 3.4% as it bagged 46.5% of votes in the last elections.
The Congress-led alliance on the other hand is expected to get 32.6% of votes in next year’s assembly elections. This is a decline of 0.9% as the alliance got 33.5% of the votes the last time.
The rookie AAP, as per the survey, is expected to get 14.6% of the votes in the elections. The others received 20% of the votes in the last elections. They are, however, expected to receive just 9.7% of votes this time, which is a decline of 10.3%.
DISCLAIMER
The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 81000+ across 5 cities (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa, and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 1st August 2021 to 2nd September 2021. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.