ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll 2023: Polling in the high-voltage Karnataka Assembly election concluded on Wednesday, with the state recording avoter tunrout above 65 per cent. The counting of votes for the 224-member Karnataka legislative assembly will be held on May 13.


The state is seeing a three-cornered fight between the incumbent BJP, an aggressive Congress and the Deve Gowda-led Janata Dal (Secular), which would hope to play kingmaker again. 


ABP News with its partner CVoter conducted exit polls to give you an insight into the voting patterns across various regions of Karnataka.


Karnataka has 224 constituencies spanning six regions -- Bengaluru, Central, Coastal, Hyderabad-Karnataka, Mumbai-Karnataka and Southern Karnataka or Old Mysore region. Mumbai-Karnataka and Southern Karnataka are the largest regions of the state and consist of 50 and 51 Assembly seats respectively.


Greater Bengaluru Region Exit Poll


As per the ABP-CVoter exit polls, BJP is likely to win 15-19 seats and garner 45 per cent vote share in the Greater Bengaluru region, where Prime Minister Narendra Modi held a massive three-hour roadshow spanning 10 km last week. Congress will get anywhere between 11-15 seats with a vote share of 39 per cent.


Old Mysore Region Exit Poll


In the Old Mysore region, base of the Vokkaligas, the Congress is likely to get the maximum seats, winnning 28-32 seats of the total 55 seats. It will likely get a vote share of 38 per cent, as per the exit polls. Congress state president DK Shivakumar is from this region and also belongs to the Vokkaliga community.


JD(S) is likely to come second, winning 19-23 seats. Former Prime Minister and also former Chief Minister of Karnataka HD Devegowda hails from this community and from this region. Vokkaligas have been consistently and solidly backing JD(S).


The BJP is again likely to fare poorly here and is projected to win 0-4 seats. It won nine seats in the last polls.


Central Karnataka Region Exit Poll


In the central Karnataka region, the ABP-CVoter exit polls predicted that Congress will win 18-22 seats with a vote share of 43.9 per cent. The BJP will win anywhere between 12-16 seats and garner 39.2 per cent of votes. In the 2018 election, BJP won 24 out of 35 assembly seats with 43 per cent vote share. 


Coastal Karnataka Region Exit Poll


Coastal Karnataka is the smallest region in the state, comprising 21 Assembly seats. In the last Assembly election in 2018, the BJP received 51 per cent votes and won 18 seats in this region. This time, the saffron party is expected to win 15-19 seats, as per exit polls. The Congress is projected to come second with 2-6 seats in its kitty.


Hyderabad-Karnataka Region Exit Poll


The exit polls gave BJP 11-15 seats in the Hyderabad-Karnataka region with a vote share of 37.5 per cent. Congress is likely to edge BJP here and may get 13-17 seats with a vote share of 43.6 per cent. In the last polls, BJP and Congress secured 12 and 15 seats respectively.


Mumbai-Karnataka Region Exit Poll


As per the ABP-CVoter exit poll, Congress is expected to bag 22-26 seats in the Mumbai-Karnataka region, up from the 17 it won in 2018. On the other hand, BJP, which secured 30 seats in this region in 2018, is likely to see a dip in its tally. The saffron party is expected to get 24-28 seats with a vote share of 43.4 per cent.


[Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the states. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% confidence interval.]