The ABP-C Voter Exit Poll has predicted that a resurgent Congress would most likely wrest Madhya Pradesh back to its fold. The Congress has been projected to win anything between 113 to 137 seats and the BJP is looking at seats between 88 and 112. The Congress is also projected to draw a vote share of 44.1 per cent, a growth from 40.9 per cent in the last election. The BJP, however, is likely to see a minor dip in the vote percentage at 40.7 per cent from 41 per cent in the last elections.
The 230-member assembly went to polls in a single phase on November 17 as the BJP and the Congress locked horns to come back to power in the state. The saffron party won 109 seats in the 2018 MP elections.
Battling a wave of anti-incumbency, a natural after staying at the helm of affairs in the state for close to two decades, the BJP heavily relied on the magical touch of PM Modi along with the election-winning political prowess of master strategist Amit Shah. Coupled with a message that there could be other contenders for the Chief Ministerial face other than Shivraj Singh Chouhan, the BJP pulled all stops to stop the state from slipping away.
Meanwhile, Congress -- which faced a setback after winning the 2018 Assembly polls after Scindia loyalists jumped ship to BJP after the leader switched sides, looks rejuvenated to return to power in the state. The party won 114 seats in the last state elections here. The party played on the front foot to leverage the BJP's perceived anti-incumbency and tried to jog the public memory about the VYAPAM (recruitment) scam and alleged irregularities in Patwari exams, wranglings within the state unit of the saffron party.
Earlier, the ABP-CVoter snap poll predicted that the Congress could win anything between 118 to 130 seats, while the BJP could bag between 99 and 11 seats.
The poll also predicted that the grand old party could bring 44.3 per cent of the total votes to its kitty while 42.1 per cent had been predicted for the saffron party.
(Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% confidence interval.)