ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep MP Again As Congress Struggles To Regain Ground

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in Madhya Pradesh, the BJP is projected to repeat its 2019 performance while the Congress faces a tough challenge, struggling to regain ground in the state.

File Photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Mohan Yadav | Congress Candidate Nakul Nath with father Kamal Nath ( Image Source :PTI | X/@NakulKNath )

In the 2019 elections, the BJP had a stellar performance in Madhya Pradesh, winning 28 out of the 29 seats, while the Congress managed to secure only one seat. The upcoming elections are particularly crucial for the Congress, as it struggles to regain ground in the state.

According to the latest opinion poll conducted by ABP News and CVoter, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to dominate the Lok Sabha elections in Madhya Pradesh, securing a significant majority of seats. The seat share projection indicates that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the BJP, is expected to win 28 out of the total 29 seats in the state, while the opposition I.N.D.I.A bloc is projected to secure only one seat. Thereby, the BJP is predicted to repeat its 2019 victory in the state where it recently successfully formed another state government.

In terms of vote percentage, the I.N.D.I.A. bloc is expected to get a  43.3% share, while the NDA is likely to secure 53%, and others may log 3.7%.

Lok Sabha Election 2024: Madhya Pradesh Polling Dates

Madhya Pradesh will witness polling in four phases for its 29 parliamentary constituencies. Phase 1, scheduled for April 19, will cover Sidhi, Shahdol, Jabalpur, Mandla, Balaghat, and Chhindwara. Phase 2, on April 26, will include Tikamgarh, Damoh, Khajuraho, Satna, Rewa, Hoshangabad, and Betul. Phase 3, slated for May 7, will see Morena, Bhind, Gwalior, Guna, Sagar, Vidisha, Bhopal, and Rajgarh going to the polls. Lastly, Phase 4 on May 13 will encompass Dewas, Ujjain, Mandsaur, Ratlam, Dhar, Indore, Khargone, and Khandwa.

One of the key constituencies to watch out for is Chhindwara, where Nakul Nath, son of former Chief Minister Kamal Nath, is contesting for the second time. In the previous election, Nakul Nath emerged victorious from this constituency, representing the Congress's sole victory. He is facing BJP leader Vivek Bunty Sahu on this seat.

(Methodology: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)