Karnataka Exit Poll Result 2023: Voting for the 224 legislative assembly seats of Karnataka was held on May 10. The fate of a total of 2,615 candidates lies sealed in EVMs as around 65.69 per cent of votes were cast by 5 pm in the state Wednesday.
As voting concludes, BJP hopes to make history by retaining its only stronghold in the south, while the Congress is desperate to stage a comeback. The BJP, propelled by the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeks to break a 38-year-old trend wherein Karnataka has not reelected the incumbent party since 1985. The Congress, meanwhile, hopes for a resounding victory to rejuvenate the party and position itself as the primary opposition force in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
2018 Karnataka Assembly Elections — Snapshotforme
In the 2018 elections, the BJP secured 104 seats, emerging as the single largest party, followed by the Congress with 80 seats, JD(S) with 37 seats, and one seat each for an independent candidate, BSP, and Karnataka Pragnyavantha Janatha Party. With no party holding a clear majority, the Congress and JD(S) attempted to form an alliance, but BJP leader BS Yediyurappa staked claim to form the government and became the chief minister briefly before resigning ahead of a trust vote.
Subsequently, the Congress-JD(S) alliance formed the government with HD Kumaraswamy as chief minister, but it collapsed after 14 months when 17 legislators, including independents, defected to the BJP. The BJP returned to power, winning 12 out of 15 seats in the subsequent bypolls held in 2019.
In the current assembly, the BJP holds 116 seats, followed by the Congress with 69, JD(S) with 29, and one seat with the BSP, two with independents, one seat for the Speaker, and six vacant seats.
To understand the trend of the Karnataka assembly election, ABP News in partnership with CVoter brings Exit Poll results from the southern state. Let us have a look at the Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 vote share percentage and the equations emerging in-depth:
ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 — Vote Share Percentage
Surprisingly, both Congress and BJP are gaining vote share percentages in the 2023 Karnataka Assembly election when compared to the 2018 Karnataka Assembly election. Congress, with an upswing of 3.1% vote share, is predicted to get 41% of the total votes, as per the ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll.
The saffron party is also recording growth from its previous outing in Karnataka, as a 38.3% vote share is coming their way this time around. A 2.3% of vote share upswing is recorded as BJP had got 36% of the vote share in the 2018 Karnataka assembly election.
JD(S) is the one taking a fall in vote share percentage, with 14.6% of the votes coming their way, as per ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll 2023.
ABP-CVoter Karnataka: Opinion Poll Results 2023
As per the last opinion polls conducted by ABP News-CVoter, it was predicted that the Congress will land 40.2% of the total vote share while the BJP was projected to get around 36% of the total votes, the same as the 2018 Karnataka assembly elections. JD(S) was predicted to get 16.1% of the votes, as per the last opinion poll conducted by ABP-CVoter ahead of voting in the state.
While the vote share percentage does not give an accurate reading of the overall scenario, you can also read ABP-CVoter Karnataka Exit Poll 2023's seat projection.
[Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the states. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% confidence interval.]