Karnataka Election Opinion Poll: Ahead of May 10 assembly elections in Karnataka, ABP-CVoter has come out with interesting outcomes through its opinion poll that suggests a change of regime in the southern state. The ABP-CVoter hints at the Congress forming government in Karnataka while the BJP could lose big and JD(S) performance could be quite below the mark. The opinion polls numbers are not good for the ruling BJP which has a mammoth task of saving its only Southern fort while the Congress attempts to take the state from the saffron party’s control.
ABP News along with CVoter spoke to the voters of Karnataka and received responses from 17,772 people. Opinion poll figures show that out of 224 assembly seats in Karnataka, a maximum of 107 to 119 seats can go to the Congress. The BJP is likely to get 74 to 86 seats and the JD(S) can get 23 to 35 seats. Whereas others have been shown getting 0 to 5 seats.
As per the data, the ruling BJP is 5 per cent behind the Congress in terms of vote share. Congress is seen projected to get a 40 per cent vote share and BJP 35 per cent. JD(S) may get 17 per cent votes. At the same time, 8 per cent of the votes can go to others.
Here's What Figures Of Entire Opinion Poll Say
Parties And Seats (Total Seats – 224)
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 74 to 86 seats
Congress - 107 to 119 seats
JD(S) - 23 to 35 seats
Others - 0 to 5 seats
Parties And Vote Share
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 35 per cent
Congress - 40 per cent
JD(S) - 17 per cent
Others – 08 per cent
Functioning Of Karnataka Government
Source - Cvoter
Good - 29 per cent
Average – 19 per cent
Bad - 52 per cent
Work Of Karnataka Chief Minister
Source - Cvoter
Average – 25 per cent
Good - 24 per cent
Bad - 51 per cent
Work Of Prime Minister Narendra Modi
Source - Cvoter
Good - 49 per cent
Average – 18 per cent
Bad - 33 per cent
Preferred Karnataka CM
Source - Cvoter
Basavaraj Bommai - 31 per cent
Siddaramaiah - 41 per cent
HD Kumaraswamy - 22 per cent
DK Shivakumar - 03 per cent
Others – 03 per cent
Biggest Issue In Karnataka
Source - Cvoter
Unemployment - 30 per cent
Basic amenities - 24 per cent
Education - 14 per cent
Corruption – 13 per cent
Law and order - 03 per cent
Others – 16 per cent
Karnataka Election - Area-Wise Projection Of Vote Share
Public Opinion And Vote Share In Greater Bangalore Region (32 seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 36 per cent
Congress - 43 per cent
JD(S) - 14 per cent
Others – 07 per cent
Public Opinion And Seats In Greater Bangalore Region (32 seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP – 11 to 15 seats
Congress - 15 to 19 seats
JD(S) - 2 to 4 seats
Others - 0 to 1 seat
Vote Share In Old Mysore Region
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 24 per cent
Congress - 36 per cent
JD(S) - 34 per cent
Others – 06 per cent
Parties And Their Seats In Old Mysore Region (55 Seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 3 to 7 seats
Congress - 21 to 25 seats
JD(S) - 25 to 29 seats
Others - 0 to 1 seat
Vote Share In Central Karnataka Region
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 36 per cent
Congress - 41 per cent
JD(S) - 14 per cent
Others – 09 per cent
Public Opinion Regarding Seats In Central Karnataka Region (35 Seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP – 12 to 16 seats
Congress - 19 to 23 seats
JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat
Others - 0 to 1 seat
Vote Share In Coastal Karnataka Region
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 48 per cent
Congress - 33 per cent
JD(S) - 10 per cent
Others – 09 per cent
Final Numbers On Seats In Coastal Karnataka Region (21 Seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP – 15 to 19 seats
Congress - 3 to 5 seats
JD(S) - 0-0 seats
Others - 0 to 1 seat
Vote Share In Mumbai-Karnataka Region
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 42 per cent
Congress - 43 per cent
JD(S) - 08 per cent
Others – 07 per cent
Seats In Mumbai-Karnataka Region (50 Seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 20 to 24 seats
Congress - 26 to 30 seats
JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat
Others - 0 to 1 seat
Vote Share In Hyderabad-Karnataka Region
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 37 per cent
Congress - 45 per cent
JD(S) - 11 per cent
Others – 07 per cent
Seats In Hyderabad Karnataka Region (31 Seats)
Source - Cvoter
BJP - 8 to 12 seats
Congress - 19 to 23 seats
JD(S) - 0 to 1 seat
Others - 0 to 1 seat
ABP News had last released survey data related to the Karnataka elections previously on March 29. The then figures predicted 68-80 seats for the BJP, 115-127 seats for the Congress, 23-35 seats for the JD(S), and 0-2 seats for others.
The counting of votes for the 224-member Karnataka Legislative Assembly will take place on May 13.
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