With the assembly elections in Tamil Nadu just months away, the anti-incumbency cycle of past two Vidhan Sabhas is culminating into an advantage for the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) as per the Opinion Poll conducted by ABP News in collaboration with C-Voter.
As per the respondents of the survey for Tamil Nadu State Assembly Elections 2021, it suggests the vote share of the UPA (DMK + Congress + Others) will increase by 1.7 per cent. The UPA, which received 39.4 per cent vote share in 2016, is expected to get 41.1 per cent vote share this time.
All is, however, not well for the NDA (AIADMK + BJP + Others) which is set to suffer a 15 per cent loss in the vote share. The NDA got 43.7 per cent vote share in 2016 but the projection suggests the alliance will bag only 28.7 per cent vote share in 2021.
The projection suggests Sasikala’s Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazagam (AMMK) will be unable to poll double-digit vote share across the state but will cause damage to the AIADMK vote share. The AMMK is expected to get a 7.8 per cent vote share.
The UPA is also expected to increase its seats’ tally in the upcoming assembly polls. The projection suggests 162 seats for the UPA in the 234-member Tamil Nadu Assembly. The UPA won 98 seats in 2016.
The NDA, which won 136 seats last time, is set to suffer a loss of 64 seats and emerge victorious in only 98 assembly constituencies in 2021.
Moreover, actor-turned-politician and Makkal Needhi Maiam (MNM) chief Kamal Haasan, who entered politics with much fanfare, has not been able to make a mark expected of him. Hasan’s party is not in the fray for anything significant as per the Opinion Poll conducted by ABP News.
The poll differential between the DMK and AIADMK is difficult to bridge as of now. Such a result will be significant as the DMK did not register such huge wins even under late Chief Minister and party patriarch M. Karunanidhi.