ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: As the nation awaits the final verdict of the Lok Sabha elections, the ABP-CVOTER Exit Poll offers a glimpse into the potential political landscape of Gujarat. Ahead of the final results of the Lok Sabha elections 2024 on June 4, ABP News in association with CVoter conducted Exit polls to find out how will the BJP-led NDA fair in Gujarat and Goa against the Congress-led I.N.D.I.A.   

In Gujarat, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home state, the BJP anticipates continuing its dominance, aiming to replicate the resounding victory of securing all 26 seats witnessed in the 2014 and 2019 elections. The state witnessed polling on 25 out of 26 seats as BJP candidate Mukesh Dalal was elected unopposed from the Surat Lok Sabha seat. The nomination of Congress leader Nilesh Kumbhani was rejected while other candidates withdrew from the contest.

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Gujarat ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Range Of Seats, Vote Share Percentage

In Gujarat, the BJP-led NDA is projected to once again dominate the Lok Sabha outcome as it is projected to secure either all seats or leave room for I.N.D.I.A. to secure one seat.

In terms of Vote share percentage, the NDA may secure 62% votes while the I.N.D.I.A. is likely to secure 34.9%. Others are likely to get a 3.1% vote share.

Alliance

Range Of Seats (Total 26)

Vote Share Percentage

NDA

25 to 26

62%

I.N.D.I.A

0 to 1

34.9%

Others

-

3.1%

The Congress has fought the 2024 Lok Sabha polls in Gujarat in alliance with the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP).

Key seats in this state include Kachchh, Patan, Gandhinagar, Mahesana, Ahmedabad East, Ahmedabad West, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Porbandar, and Sabarkantha. Notably, Union Health Minister Mansukh Mandaviya made his Lok Sabha debut from Porbandar. 

Goa ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Range Of Seats, Vote Share Percentage

Goa, with its two Lok Sabha seats, underwent polling in the third phase on May 7. BJP's Shripad Naik and Congress' Francisco Sardinha currently hold North and South Goa seats respectively. Noteworthy battles included BJP's Shripad Naik against Congress' Ramakant Khalap in North Goa and BJP's Pallavi Dempo against Congress' Viriato Fernandes in South Goa.

In Goa, the I.N.D.I.A. may secure one out of two seats with a 46.1% vote share. The NDA may secure a 45.2% vote share and is projected to either lose a seat or repeat its 2019 Lok Sabha election performance.

Alliance

Range Of Seats (Total 2)

Vote Share Percentage

NDA

1 to 2

45.2%

I.N.D.I.A

0 to 1

46.1%

Others

-

8.7%

DISCLAIMER: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.