As Chhattisgarh gears up for its upcoming Assembly elections, an opinion poll conducted by ABP News and CVoter reveals a close contest between the incumbent Congress party and the opposition BJP, with the ruling Congress maintaining a slight lead. Elections for the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly are scheduled to be held in two phases, on November 7 and 17, with the vote count taking place on December 3.
The ABP News-CVoter opinion poll on Chhattisgarh's upcoming Assembly elections demonstrates a tight competition between the incumbent Congress party and the opposition BJP.
The Congress is currently holding a slight lead in voter sentiment, projecting a vote share of 44.8%, with a swing of 1.7% compared to the last election. Meanwhile, the BJP is trailing closely behind, with a projected vote share of 42.7%, indicating a swing of -1.8% since the last polls. Other parties collectively hold a vote share of 12.5%, experiencing a significant swing of -11.4%.
As for the projected range of seats in this election, the Congress is expected to secure between 45 to 51 seats, while the BJP may win between 36 to 42 seats. Other parties could secure 2 to 5 seats. The opinion poll results imply a closely contested election, with both major parties vying for dominance as the Chhattisgarh Assembly elections approach.
The opinion poll suggests that the Congress is leading in terms of vote share, but the BJP is not far behind, indicating a closely contested election. With the margin of swing being less than two percent, the competition appears fierce, and the final results may come down to a few key factors and the last-minute campaign efforts by both parties.
The Congress, which currently holds power in the state, has not yet released its full manifesto but has made significant promises, including a loan waiver for farmers, as part of its campaign.
In contrast, the BJP, the primary opposition, unveiled its manifesto on Friday, outlining several key commitments. These include annual financial assistance to married women and landless agricultural laborers, paddy procurement at Rs 3,100 per quintal, and cooking gas cylinders at Rs 500 for economically disadvantaged families.
[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll CATI interviews conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters (sample size 5,782). The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.]