Will BJP's New Leadership In Rajasthan, MP And Chhatisgarh Boost 2024 LS Polls Prospect? ABP C-Voter Finds

Those who agreed that the BJP would gain because of the change, include 60.4 per cent of male respondents and 59.6 per cent of women voters.

Leaders of political parties across the country are busy day and night preparing strategies that can give them a margin over others during the biggest festival of democracy next year, the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. With less than five months left, leaders are gauging the mood of people to determine if they have an edge yet and if not, what could be the way forward. The recently concluded assembly elections in five states showed the opposition has to cover much with the BJP pulling off three key Hindi heartland states, snatching two from Congress and retaining one.

ABP-Cvoter reached out to voters and tried to understand their perception over the Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) choosing new faces to lead Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh.

When asked: "Do you think that the leadership changes made by BJP in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh after registering victory in the recently held assembly elections will benefit the party in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections?", 60 per cent of the respondents said yes.

On the other hand, 30.4 per cent of the surveyors believed the change would have no impact on the prospects of the saffron party in the upcoming general elections in the country. Those who agreed that the BJP would gain because of the change, include 60.4 per cent of male respondents and 59.6 per cent of women voters.

A whopping 68.1 per cent of those aged between 45-54 years believed the BJP will have an advantage with new faces leading the three states it won. People in the 18-24 years of age range were the maximum who said 'No' to the question asked. 59.5 per cent of those in the lower-income group said new CMs would be beneficial for the BJP whereas 30 per cent of the same group disagreed. 25.6 per cent of high-income group individuals believed that new CM faces will not aid the party in next year's Lok Sabha elections.

 

Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level Vote Share projection with 95% Confidence interval.