ABP Cvoter Survey LIVE: BJP Likely To Retain Power In Uttarakhand, Goa & Manipur. AAP To Emerge Big In Punjab
Assembly Election 2022 ABP Cvoter Survey LIVE: The survey highlights several key points related to the states and what voters think of various political parties and their performances ahead of polls.
While BJP may lose over 60 seats, it can still go on to form the government — thereby securing its stronghold in the Hindi heartland. Meanwhile, SP chief Akhilesh Yadav's claim of winning over 400 seats is not likely to be realised in this election.
In terms of the range of seats, the BJP is projected to win 259 to 267 seats and SP can secure 109 to 117 seats, followed by BSP with 12 to 16, Congress with 3 to 7, and others with 6 to 10.
On the basis of the early projection, BJP is expected to see an increase of 0.4% in the percentage of votes. On the other hand, SP is projected to gain 6.6% of votes in the upcoming polls. Meanwhile, BSP can witness a significant setback with a decline in vote percentage (-6.5%) and the Congress (INC) is also expected to lose some of its shares as compared to 2017 (-1.2%).
During the ABP News C-Voter survey, when a question was asked how satisfied CM Yogi is with the work, 44 percent said that they are very satisfied. 18 percent less satisfied. 37 per cent are dissatisfied and one per cent said they cannot say no.
During the survey, 45 percent people said that they are very satisfied with the work of Yogi government in UP. 20 percent of the people said that they are less satisfied. 34 percent said they were dissatisfied. Whereas one percent said that they cannot tell anything.
ABP-CVoter Survey projected vote share at 15.4 percent for INC, BJP to get 39.4 percent, AAP to get 22.2 percent, and Others 23 percent vote share in the upcoming elections. While numbers of seats predicted for INC 3-7 seats, BJP 22-26 Seats, AAP 4 to 8 seats, and Others 3 to 7 seats. This time the survey also projects the BJP to reign in power for the consecutive year.
Under party alliance votes, ABP-CVoter Survey projected that INC will get 34.5 percent vote shares, BJP 40.5 percent, NPF 7 percent, and Others 18 percent in the upcoming elections. While numbers of seats predicted are INC 18-22 seats, BJP 32-36 seats, NPF 2-6, and others 0-4 seats.
The BJP-led alliance is likely to get 46 seats in the 70-member Uttarakhand Assembly, according to the ABP-CVoter survey. This is, however, a loss of 11 seats. The Congress-led alliance is likely to make gains this time as the survey suggests the grand old party will win 21 seats.
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which will make its electoral debut in the hill state, is expected to win only 2 seats, while the others will bag just 1 seat as per the survey.
When asked about the performance of the newly appointed CM of Uttarakhand Pushkar Singh Dhami, 36 per cent respondents said that they are satisfied while another 36 per cent said they were not satisfied with CMs work. Meanwhile, 17 per cent said that they cannot comment on the issue.
According to the ABP News C Voter Survey, in the upcoming assembly elections in Punjab, 28.8 percent in Congress, 21.8 percent in Shiromani Akali Dal, 35.1 percent in Aam Aadmi Party, 73. percent in BJP and others. It is expected to get 7 percent of the vote.
The survey was conducted by ABP News C Voter regarding the Punjab Assembly elections. According to the survey, Congress can get 38 to 46 seats in the 2022 elections. Whereas, the Aam Aadmi Party can get 51 to 57 seats.
Congress is likely to get somewhere between 38 to 46 seats in the upcoming Punjab Assembly polls whereas Arvind Kejriwal's AAP may get 51 to 57 seats in the state. The figures show that Punjab is heading for a hung assembly in 2022 polls.
Congress came to power by winning 77 seats in Punjab's 117-member assembly elections 2017 and the government was formed under the leadership of Amarinder. The Shiromani Akali Dal was reduced to just 15 seats, while the Aam Aadmi Party performed brilliantly, winning 20 seats and achieved the status of the opposition party in the state. BJP got 3 seats while others got 2 seats in their account.
In the 2017 UP assembly elections, BJP had got 41.1 percent vote share. Whereas, 23.6 percent votes were cast in the account of Samajwadi Party, 22.2 percent in the account of BSP, 6.3 percent in the account of Congress and 6.5 percent in the account of others.
In Uttar Pradesh, BJP registered a landslide victory in the 2017 assembly elections. After this, the government was formed in the state under the leadership of Yogi Adityanath. The BJP got 325 seats out of the 403-member state assembly. Whereas, Samajwadi Party was reduced to 48, Bahujan Samaj Party 19, Congress 7 seats. So there were 4 seats in the account of others.
Background
[Disclaimer: The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 81000+ across 5 cities (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 1st August 2021 to 2nd September 2021. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.]
Assembly Election 2022 ABP Cvoter Survey LIVE: Months ahead of Assembly elections in as many as five states including Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Goa, Uttarakhand and Manipur, ABP News along with C Voter conducted a survey to gauge the mood of voters.
The survey highlights several key points related to the states and what voters think of various political parties and their performances ahead of polls.
While the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aims at retaining power in states such as Uttar Pradesh, Goa and Uttarakhand, Opposition parties including Congress, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Samajwadi Party (SP) and others would like to dethrone the saffron party in these states.
The ABP C Voter survey further highlights the popularity of BJP in Central government, performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, role of Opposition, work done by MP and MLAs in the poll-bound states and other factors.
The survey also talks about the big issues faced by the country at the moment. It includes factors such as unemployment, economic crisis, farmers' protest and Covid pandemic.
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