The voting for the upcoming assembly elections in five states will be held on different dates from 27 March to 29 April. The election in five states - Assam, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry - is being dubbed as the trailer for the Lok Sabha elections to be held in 2024 as the electoral results of these five states on May 2 will determine the strategies of the ruling BJP and opposition in near future.
In Kerala, voting will be held on April 6 in a single phase. The results will be announced on 2 May. Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) government currently rules the state.
In the midst of all the political action, ABP News conducted a snap poll with C-Voter to find the mood of the public ahead of Kerala Polls 2021.
According to the snap poll, LDF is set to create history and return to power in the 140-member assembly.
LDF government can win a simple majority in the Kerala Polls 2021, by winning somewhere between 71-83 seats.
Meanwhile, Congress-led UDF might get restricted to 56-68 seats of the 140 seats - higher than its 2016 tally when it won 47 seats.
The survey suggests that BJP might fail to make any impact in the state as it finishes third with chances of securing 0-2 seats.
Alliance Seats : Kerala | From | Seats | To |
LDF | 71 | to | 83 |
UDF | 56 | to | 68 |
BJP | 0 | to | 2 |
Others | 0 | to | 0 |
Total | 140 |
The LDF is expected to get 42.4 per cent of vote share in Kerala Polls 2021 while the UDF is set to get 38.8 per cent.
The BJP, which received 14.9 per cent vote share in 2016, is recording an uptick, is expected to get 16.4 per cent vote share in this year's assembly polls.
Alliance Votes : Kerala | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing |
LDF | 43.5 | 42.4 | -1.1 |
UDF | 38.8 | 38.6 | -0.2 |
BJP | 14.9 | 16.4 | 1.5 |
Others | 2.8 | 2.6 | -0.2 |
Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
The assembly polls in West Bengal will be held in eight phases. Voting will be held in Assam in three phases on 27 March, 1 April and 6 April. Elections will be held on 6 April in Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry. Election results of all the states will be declared on 2 May.