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Madhya Pradesh & Assembly Elections Exit Poll : MP goes Congress' way after 15 years
Madhya Pradesh & Assembly Elections Exit Poll : MP goes Congress' way after 15 years
ABP News' Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections Exit Poll: Has Madhya Pradesh voted to give the BJP a fourth successive term in power or provide a chance to the opposition Congress to break the saffron party's monopoly over power for the last 15 years, it will be out in a short while from now in ABP News' exit poll of Madhya Pradesh assembly elections.
ABP News Bureau
Last Updated:
12 Feb 2019 10:43 AM
The satisfaction with the ruling state government was also very low as compared to the past assembly election held in 2013 & satisfaction with the Central government headed by the NDA was even lower than the state BJP government in Madhya Pradesh.
The survey found a huge anti-incumbency sentiment; almost half of the surveyed voters expressed that the incumbent BJP government should not get another chance; only two of five wanted government to be re-elected.
According to the exit poll, state leaders are liked by voters than national leaders like Narendra Modi, Rahul Gandhi and Amit Shah.
Scindia seems to have had more impact on Congress voters compared to Kamal Nath. In individual likelability for the leaders, Jyotiraditya Scindia is most preferrf over Shivraj Singh Chouhan.
Shivraj Singh Chouhan continues to be most preferred Chief Minister; two of five respondents preferred him. But the Congress leaders Jyotiraditya Scindia, Kamal Nath and Digvijay Singh (all combined) preferred by almost half of the respondents, Jyotiraditya Scindia most preferred for CM’s post among all the Congress leaders.
Inflation was the biggest issue while voting in the Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election for one of five voters, followed closely by unemployment. Development, corruption and poverty were also important issues in the Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections.
Inflation was the biggest issue while voting in the Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election for one of five voters, followed closely by unemployment. Development, corruption and poverty were also important issues in the Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections.
Congress likely to be on top in all regions except Malwa North where the BJP may end up with a narrow lead. A quarter of the respondents had made their mind about whom to vote for much before the campaign started; and a little more than one of five made their mind after the candidates were declared by the party.
The Congress is all set to wrest Madhya Pradesh from the BJP after a hiatus of 15 years, an exit poll conducted by ABP News has predicted on Friday. According to the poll, the Congress is set to win 126 seats in the 230 member assembly while the incumbent BJP is likely to secure 94 constituencies.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 43% percent are likely to have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP is likely to have secured 40 percent of the votes.
While the BJP fought the polls under the leadership of Chouhan, the Congress has not projected its chief ministerial candidate. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has attacked the Congress saying it has three chief ministerial candidates with each pulling others down and that it cannot think of the state's development.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Congress chief Rahul Gandhi were the star campaigners for their respective parties and addressed a number of poll rallies across the state. They freely exchanged barbs and traded charges, raising the political temperature in the central state. National and state issues, including the Rafale deal, demonetisation, development, GST, corruption, dynastic politics and the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government's performance, among others, prominently figured in their speeches.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Congress chief Rahul Gandhi were the star campaigners for their respective parties and addressed a number of poll rallies across the state. They freely exchanged barbs and traded charges, raising the political temperature in the central state. National and state issues, including the Rafale deal, demonetisation, development, GST, corruption, dynastic politics and the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government's performance, among others, prominently figured in their speeches.
Polling in the state was marred by complaints of faulty Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs) and Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) machines. A Congress delegation had also met the Election Commission and raised concern over the security of EVMs inside strong rooms and their handling during the counting process. The BJP has maintained that the Congress was running a campaign of EVM tampering as it has sensed defeat in the assembly polls and asserted there is no reason to doubt the integrity of the Election Commission (EC).
Madhya Pradesh had registered a record 74.85 per cent turn-out in assembly polls on November 28. The BJP has said more and more people came out to vote in support of the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government while Congress has termed the higher turnout as strong anti-incumbency vote against the ruling BJP. Who’s going to form government in Madhya Pradesh, the Exit Poll commissioned by ABP News will help you decide. Stay tuned.
Election experts of ABP News say it is a neck and neck battle in Madhya Pradesh with the BJP and the Congress locked in a tight contest. It will be tough to predict who'll emerge victorious, they say.
Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan has time and again exuded confidence that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would get a comfortable majority in the just-concluded Assembly elections in the state while Congress President Rahul Gandhi has claimed his party would wrest the state from the saffron party after a hiatus of 15 years.
Background
MP Assembly Election Exit Poll: Madhya Pradesh voted on November 28 to elect new the assembly, the results of which along with those in four other states will decide to which way the wind is blowing ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Whether the state voted to give the BJP a fourth successive term in power or provide a chance to the opposition Congress to break the saffron party's monopoly over power for the last 15 years, it will be out in a short while from now in ABP News' exit poll of Madhya Pradesh assembly elections. The main contest in Madhya Pradesh is between the Congress and BJP though the BSP and the SP are also in the fray. The BSP has fielded 227 candidates, while the SP is contesting on 52 seats. The AAP, contesting the Madhya Pradesh elections for the first time, has fielded 208 candidates. The campaign was high decibel, often marked by bitter personal attacks, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi & Congress President "Rahul Gandhi" leading the charge of their parties.