ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Results: Will BJP Dominate, Or Is Congress Set For Comeback In Rajasthan? What Survey Predicts

Rajasthan's 25 seats saw fierce competition among heavyweight candidates. Known for its political 'seesaw' between BJP and Congress, here's what the ABP News C-Voter exit poll predicts for the state.

Rajasthan's 25 constituencies saw fierce competition among heavyweight candidates in the Lok Sabha elections. Known for its political 'seesaw' between BJP and Congress, the state remained a critical battleground. In Jalore, Vaibhav Gehlot, son of former Chief Minister and Congress leader Ashok Gehlot, threw his hat in the ring. Meanwhile, in Kota-Bundi, sitting MP and Lok Sabha Speaker OM Birla is competing with Congress candidate Prahlad Gunjal. Here’s what the ABP News C-Voter Survey predicts for the state: 

State	Party	Seats	Vote Share
Rajasthan (25 Seats)	I.N.D.I.A Bloc	2 to 4	38.60%
	NDA	21 to 23	54.50%
	Others	-	6.90%

Rajasthan Lok Sabha Elections 2024

Rajasthan after witnessing intense campaigning and fierce contests concluded voting for all the 25 Lok Sabha constituencies. Key seats where tough battles are expected included Banswara, Barmer-Jaisalmer, Jodhpur, Jalore, Chittorgarh, and Kota-Bundi. Other constituencies involved in the polls were Tonk-Sawai Madhopur, Ajmer, Pali, Udaipur, Rajsamand, Kota, and Jhalawar-Baran. 

On the final day of campaigning, Bollywood actress Kangana Ranaut held a roadshow in Jaisalmer to support BJP candidate Kailash Chaudhary. The Barmer-Jaisalmer constituency, the largest in Rajasthan and located along the India-Pakistan border, saw a triangular contest among Independent candidate Ravindra Singh Bhati, Congtress's Ummedaram, and BJP's Kailash Chaudhary. Bhati, aged 26, is an Independent MLA from the Sheo constituency of Barmer district. 

In Jalore, former Chief Minister and Congress leader Ashok Gehlot's son, Vaibhav Gehlot, contested the election. Ashok Gehlot concentrated his campaigning efforts on this seat, aiming to challenge BJP's Lumbaram, a grassroots leader. Vaibhav had previously lost the 2019 election to BJP's Gajendra Singh Shekawat in Jodhpur. 

Heavyweight candidates competed across Rajasthan's 25 constituencies in the Lok Sabha elections. The state, known for its political swings between BJP and Congress, continued to be a crucial battleground. 

In Barmer-Jaisalmer, attention was also focused on Jodhpur, where BJP candidate Shekhawat faced a close contest with Congress's Karan Singh Uchiarda. Shekhawat had won the seat in both 2014 and 2019. 

Former Chief Minister and BJP leader Vasundhara Raje campaigned in Jhalawar-Baran, supporting her son and sitting MP Dushyant Singh, who was up against Congress candidate Urmila Jain, a Zila Pramukh and wife of former minister Pramod Jain Bhaya. 

In Kota-Bundi, sitting MP and Lok Sabha speaker Om Birla faced a strong challenge from Congress candidate Prahlad Gunjal. 

The tribal-dominated Banswara seat witnessed an intriguing contest as the Congress supported Bharat Adivasi Party (BAP) candidate Rajkumar Roat. This decision came after Congress's own candidate, Arvind Damor, refused to withdraw and pledged to contest with full strength. The Congress opted to support the BAP following veteran leader Mahendrajeet Singh Malviya's defection to the BJP and his subsequent ticket allocation. 

Former Rajasthan Assembly speaker CP Joshi contested from Bhilwara as the Congress candidate against BJP's Damodar Agarwal. Meanwhile, BJP state president Chandra Prakash Joshi sought re-election from Chittorgarh for the third time, facing Congress candidate and Former Minister Udailal Anjana. 

The BJP had secured all Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan in both the 2014 and 2019 elections. 

(Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)