In view of the upcoming much-awaited Lok Sabha elections, ABP in association with CVoter tried to gauge the mood of the Northeastern as the nation goes to vote from April 19 across seven phases.
According to the survey, UPA will receive 32 percent of the vote share while the NDA will receive 63 percent in Arunachal Pradesh.
In Assam, the Congress-led UPA is likely to receive 35.5 percent votes, while NDA will receive 51.8 percent vote share. In terms of seat share, the BJP-led NDA is likely to get 12 seats and Congress 2 seats.
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Meanwhile in Manipur, UPA is likely receive 41 percent vote share and NDA will receive 49 percent votes. In Meghalaya, UPA is projected to win 52.1 percent vote share, while NDA is projected to secure a vote share of 43.0 percent.
In Mizoram, UPA is projected to secure 13 percent vote share and NDA is projected to get 40.5 vote share. In Nagaland, UPA will likely get 14.8 percent vote share, while NDA will likely get 55.3 of the vote share.
In Tripura UPA is projected to get 16.2 percent vote share, while NDA will likely win 58.5 percent of the vote share. In Sikkim, UPA is projected to get 34.0 percent vote share while NDA will likely win 55.0 percent vote share.
NDA holds a total of 20 seats in the northeast with Assam (12), Arunachal Pradesh (2), Manipur (1), Meghalaya (1), Mizoram (0), Nagaland (1), Tripura (2), and Sikkim (1).
UPA, on the other hand has a total of 4 seats in the northeast with Assam (2), Arunachal Pradesh (0), Manipur (1), Meghalaya (1), Mizoram (0), Nagaland (0), Tripura (0), and Sikkim (0).
(Methodology: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)