ABP-CVoter Opinion Polls 2023 Highlights: First Post-Poll Schedule Projections Of 5 States Out Now
ABP CVoter Opinion Polls 2023 Highlights: Stay tuned to know about all the latest updates on Snap Poll for assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram.
With the announcement of the election schedule, ABP News in association with CVoter released findings of an opinion poll to reveal the mood of voters in the five poll-bound states. See the state-wise break up of the prediction here:
As per the survey, conducted in the first week of October, BJP is slated to win anywhere between 127 to 137 seats in the 200-member Assembly. The majority mark for a party to form the government is 101. The saffron party is likely to get around 46 per cent of the votes, a jump from the 38 per cent it received in the 2018 election. On the other hand, Congress is likely to bag between 59 to 69 seats, with a vote share of 42 per cent.
As per the ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll data, the ruling BJP is 0.1 per cent ahead of the Congress in terms of vote share. Congress is projected to get a 44.6 per cent vote share and BJP 44.7 per cent. BSP may get 2.1 per cent votes. At the same time, 8.6 per cent of the votes can go to others.
ABP News along with CVoter spoke to the voters of Madhya Pradesh and received their responses. Opinion poll figures show that out of 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh, a maximum of 113 to 125 seats can go to the Congress. The BJP is likely to get 104 to 116 seats.
Congress can get 45 percent votes in Mahakaushal region of Madhya Pradesh.
Congress can win 35-39 seats in Baghelkhand region of Madhya Pradesh.
ABP-Cvoter Opinion Poll projection for the Chambal region of Madhya Pradesh
According to the ABP-CVoter survey for Chhattisgarh, the ruling Congress can gain over 45% vote share in an upswing of 2.2%, followed by the BJP at 43% in an upswing of over 10% vote share. Others are projected to secure 11% of votes, a decline of nearly 13% of votes.
Chhattisgarh will go to polls on November 7 and November 17. The election will be held in two phases and votes will be counted on December 3, along with the other four states - Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram
The opinion poll showed that it is going to be a tough political battle between the ruling Congress and the BJP. Out of the total 90 seats, the saffron party can secure 39 to 45 seats, while the Congress is expected to win 45 to 51 seats. Others are projected to win only 0 to 2 seats.
According to the ABP-CVoter opinion poll for Telangana, the Congress can gain nearly 39% vote share in a significant upswing of 10.5%, followed by the ruling BRS at 37% in a decline of 9.4% vote share. The BJP is also projected to secure 16% of votes, an increase of 9.3% of votes.
According to the opinion poll, it is a tough contest between the ruling BRS and the Congress. The BRS can secure 43 to 55 seats, while the Congress is expected to win 48 to 60 seats. The BJP, despite PM Narendra Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah leading its campaign, is projected to win only 5 to 11 seats.
According to the ABP-CVoter survey, the Congress can gain nearly 39% vote share in an upswing of 10.5%, followed by the ruling BRS at 37% in a decline of 9.4% vote share. The BJP is also projected to secure 16% of votes, an increase of 9.3% of votes.
According to the ABP-CVoter opinion poll, Mizoram is expected to witness a hung assembly with no party securing a complete majority on its own.
ABP CVoter Opinion Polls 2023 Live: Hello and welcome to ABP Live Blog for the first Snap Poll pertaining for assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram. The Congress-ruled state will witness an election later this year.
The Election Commission has announced the schedule for assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram. These elections, slated between November 7 and 30, with the counting of votes scheduled for December 3, are being viewed as a semi-final clash between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and opposition parties in the run-up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Background
ABP CVoter Opinion Polls 2023 Highlights: Hello and welcome to ABP Live Blog for the first Snap Poll pertaining for assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram. The Congress-ruled state will witness an election later this year.
The Election Commission has announced the schedule for assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram. These elections, slated between November 7 and 30, with the counting of votes scheduled for December 3, are being viewed as a semi-final clash between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and opposition parties in the run-up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Rajiv Kumar, in a press conference, outlined the election dates. Madhya Pradesh will witness a single-phase assembly poll on November 17, Rajasthan on November 23, Telangana on November 30, and Mizoram on November 7. Chhattisgarh, however, will go to the polls in two phases, with the first phase on November 7 (covering 20 seats) and the second on November 17 (covering 70 seats).
These high-stakes elections pose a litmus test for the Congress, the dominant party in the INDIA bloc, currently in power in two of these four major states. Simultaneously, they hold great significance for the BJP, with results poised to impact the discourse leading up to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's anticipated re-election bid next year.
The BJP and Congress are set for direct face-offs in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan. They also vie for supremacy in Telangana, where Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao's Bharat Rashtra Samithi seeks a third consecutive term. In Mizoram, regional parties and the Congress challenge the incumbent Mizo National Front, with ethnic divisions in the aftermath of violence in Manipur potentially altering political dynamics.
Of particular note are the assembly polls in three Hindi-speaking states, considered BJP strongholds in two consecutive Lok Sabha elections, along with Telangana, which are expected to exert a significant influence on national politics. In the 2019 national elections, despite Congress victories in the state assembly contests, the BJP triumphed in these three central and western states, collectively accounting for 65 Lok Sabha constituencies. However, the BJP acknowledges that each election is distinct and has made extensive efforts to regain power in these states.
In an unusual move, the BJP has already announced 79 candidates for Madhya Pradesh assembly elections and 21 candidates for the Chhattisgarh polls, reflecting their determination to surpass the Congress, who dealt the BJP a significant defeat in Karnataka.
With nearly 16 crore eligible voters across these states, the CEC emphasized efforts to ensure inducement-free polls. Of the 1.77 lakh polling stations, over 1.01 lakh will feature webcasting facilities.
In response to the election announcement, BJP President J P Nadda expressed confidence in his party's ability to secure a majority in all states under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership. Meanwhile, Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge emphasized the party's commitment to public welfare, social justice, and progressive development during a meeting of the Congress Working Committee.
The Election Commission, in preparation for the elections, prioritized inclusive electoral rolls and roll-to-poll efforts. The introduction of the Election Seizure Management System aims to enhance oversight and ensure inducement-free elections. Over 940 checkposts will be established to monitor interstate borders and deter illicit activities like the flow of cash, freebies, and drugs. Additionally, the EC will maintain a strict vigil over suspicious online cash transfers through wallets.
These assembly elections hold great political significance and are expected to set the tone for the impending Lok Sabha elections as political parties gear up for intense campaigning in these five states.
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